Final Apr 28
NYM 19 -168 o9.5
WAS 5 +151 u9.5
Final Apr 28
MIN 11 +107 o8.0
CLE 1 -118 u8.0
Final Apr 28
NYY 3 -132 o9.5
BAL 4 +120 u9.5
Final Apr 28
STL 1 +108 o9.5
CIN 3 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 28
ATH 2 -104 o9.5
TEX 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 28
DET 5 +108 o7.5
HOU 8 -119 u7.5
Final Apr 28
ATL 6 -167 o10.5
COL 3 +150 u10.5
Final (10) Apr 28
MIA 6 +245 o9.0
LAD 7 -283 u9.0
NBCSCA, MASN

Oakland @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tyler Soderstrom Total Hits Props • Oakland

T. Soderstrom
catcher C • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Tyler Soderstrom will hold the platoon advantage over Joan Adon in today's matchup. Tyler Soderstrom has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 86.7-mph average. Compared to his seasonal average of 3.7°, Tyler Soderstrom has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.5° figure in the past week's worth of games.

Tyler Soderstrom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Tyler Soderstrom will hold the platoon advantage over Joan Adon in today's matchup. Tyler Soderstrom has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 86.7-mph average. Compared to his seasonal average of 3.7°, Tyler Soderstrom has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.5° figure in the past week's worth of games.

Esteury Ruiz Total Hits Props • Oakland

E. Ruiz
center outfield CF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Esteury Ruiz in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Esteury Ruiz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Esteury Ruiz has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Esteury Ruiz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.7-mph in recent games.

Esteury Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Esteury Ruiz in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Esteury Ruiz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Esteury Ruiz has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Esteury Ruiz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.7-mph in recent games.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Nationals Park grades out as the #27 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Paul Blackburn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses in today's matchup. The Oakland Athletics infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 19.2% to 11.1%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) may lead us to conclude that Joey Meneses has experienced some positive variance this year with his .280 actual batting average.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park grades out as the #27 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Paul Blackburn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses in today's matchup. The Oakland Athletics infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 19.2% to 11.1%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) may lead us to conclude that Joey Meneses has experienced some positive variance this year with his .280 actual batting average.

Jordan Diaz Total Hits Props • Oakland

J. Diaz
third base 3B • Oakland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Nationals Park grades out as the #27 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Joan Adon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Diaz today. Jordan Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Over the last 7 days, Jordan Diaz's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.3%. Jordan Diaz has been lucky this year, posting a .327 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .016 deviation.

Jordan Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park grades out as the #27 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Joan Adon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Diaz today. Jordan Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Over the last 7 days, Jordan Diaz's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.3%. Jordan Diaz has been lucky this year, posting a .327 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .016 deviation.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

The #4 venue in MLB for suppressing BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. The Oakland Athletics infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today. CJ Abrams has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 83.6-mph in the last 7 days. Despite posting a .317 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes CJ Abrams has experienced some positive variance given the .019 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298. CJ Abrams has displayed bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 11th percentile with a 4.68 K/BB rate.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The #4 venue in MLB for suppressing BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. The Oakland Athletics infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today. CJ Abrams has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 83.6-mph in the last 7 days. Despite posting a .317 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes CJ Abrams has experienced some positive variance given the .019 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298. CJ Abrams has displayed bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 11th percentile with a 4.68 K/BB rate.

Zack Gelof Total Hits Props • Oakland

Z. Gelof
shortstop SS • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Zack Gelof is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Zack Gelof has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92.8-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.4°, Zack Gelof has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.4° figure in the past week's worth of games.

Zack Gelof

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Zack Gelof is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Zack Gelof has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92.8-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.4°, Zack Gelof has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.4° figure in the past week's worth of games.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Lane Thomas will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Lane Thomas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 14.3%.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Lane Thomas will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Lane Thomas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 14.3%.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last two weeks, Keibert Ruiz's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.8%.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last two weeks, Keibert Ruiz's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.8%.

Nick Allen Total Hits Props • Oakland

N. Allen
shortstop SS • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Nick Allen has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Nick Allen has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last season's 85.9-mph figure. Last year, Nick Allen had an average launch angle of 4.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 8.5°. In the last week, Nick Allen's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.6%.

Nick Allen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Nick Allen has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Nick Allen has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last season's 85.9-mph figure. Last year, Nick Allen had an average launch angle of 4.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 8.5°. In the last week, Nick Allen's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.6%.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Alex Call has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.8-mph mark. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alex Call has been unlucky given the .041 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Alex Call has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.8-mph mark. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alex Call has been unlucky given the .041 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

Stone Garrett Total Hits Props • Washington

S. Garrett
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Stone Garrett will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Placing in the 91st percentile, Stone Garrett sits with a .351 BABIP since the start of last season.

Stone Garrett

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Stone Garrett will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Placing in the 91st percentile, Stone Garrett sits with a .351 BABIP since the start of last season.

Shea Langeliers Total Hits Props • Oakland

S. Langeliers
catcher C • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Shea Langeliers has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 95-mph over the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shea Langeliers's true offensive talent to be a .311, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .039 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .272 wOBA.

Shea Langeliers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Shea Langeliers has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 95-mph over the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shea Langeliers's true offensive talent to be a .311, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .039 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .272 wOBA.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today's game. Ildemaro Vargas has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 88.5-mph average.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today's game. Ildemaro Vargas has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 88.5-mph average.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Blackburn in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Blackburn in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Seth Brown Total Hits Props • Oakland

S. Brown
left outfield LF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seth Brown in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Seth Brown is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Seth Brown will hold the platoon advantage against Joan Adon in today's game. Seth Brown pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Seth Brown

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seth Brown in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Seth Brown is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°. Seth Brown will hold the platoon advantage against Joan Adon in today's game. Seth Brown pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast