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Washington @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+180
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+180
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre profiles as the #28 field in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast the 2nd-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Josiah Gray will hold the platoon advantage against George Springer today. George Springer's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (8.1°) is quite a bit worse than his 11.5° mark last year.

George Springer

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rogers Centre profiles as the #28 field in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast the 2nd-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Josiah Gray will hold the platoon advantage against George Springer today. George Springer's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (8.1°) is quite a bit worse than his 11.5° mark last year.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+133
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Lane Thomas has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.9% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 7 days. Lane Thomas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 88.5-mph mark.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Lane Thomas has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.9% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 7 days. Lane Thomas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 88.5-mph mark.

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Toronto

S. Espinal
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Santiago Espinal will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) implies that Santiago Espinal this year with his .214 actual batting average. Sporting a 1.76 K/BB rate this year, Santiago Espinal has displayed impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Santiago Espinal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Santiago Espinal will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) implies that Santiago Espinal this year with his .214 actual batting average. Sporting a 1.76 K/BB rate this year, Santiago Espinal has displayed impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+130
Projection Rating

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray today. Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.7% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the past week. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this season (20°) is a considerable increase over his 14.5° figure last season.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray today. Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.7% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the past week. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this season (20°) is a considerable increase over his 14.5° figure last season.

Brandon Belt Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Belt
designated hitter DH • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Belt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Belt is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage over Josiah Gray in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Belt will hold that advantage today.

Brandon Belt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Belt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Belt is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage over Josiah Gray in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Belt will hold that advantage today.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Kevin Kiermaier's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has compiled a .330 BABIP this year, placing in the 83rd percentile.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kevin Kiermaier's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has compiled a .330 BABIP this year, placing in the 83rd percentile.

Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Kieboom
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Carter Kieboom hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Carter Kieboom has been hot in recent games, putting up a .467 wOBA in the past week. Carter Kieboom has shown some good exit velocity metrics of late, averaging 100.3-mph on his flyballs in the past week's worth of games. Over the last week, Carter Kieboom has posted a 34.3° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Carter Kieboom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carter Kieboom hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Carter Kieboom has been hot in recent games, putting up a .467 wOBA in the past week. Carter Kieboom has shown some good exit velocity metrics of late, averaging 100.3-mph on his flyballs in the past week's worth of games. Over the last week, Carter Kieboom has posted a 34.3° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Alu in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jake Alu will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Gausman today. Jake Alu hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Jake Alu has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 94.6-mph over the past week. Jake Alu's launch angle recently (10° over the last week) is considerably better than his 5.7° seasonal figure.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Alu in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jake Alu will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Gausman today. Jake Alu hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Jake Alu has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 94.6-mph over the past week. Jake Alu's launch angle recently (10° over the last week) is considerably better than his 5.7° seasonal figure.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Ildemaro Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Ildemaro Vargas has suffered from bad luck this year. His .242 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .282. In terms of plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.21 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 95th percentile.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ildemaro Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Ildemaro Vargas has suffered from bad luck this year. His .242 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .282. In terms of plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.21 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 95th percentile.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. CJ Abrams has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 90.6-mph over the past 7 days. Over the past week, CJ Abrams's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. CJ Abrams has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 90.6-mph over the past 7 days. Over the past week, CJ Abrams's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

Joey Meneses's batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Placing in the 88th percentile, Joey Meneses has posted a .282 batting average this year.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Joey Meneses's batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Placing in the 88th percentile, Joey Meneses has posted a .282 batting average this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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