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Texas @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-165
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst stadium in the game for right-handed base hits. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nathan Eovaldi will have the handedness advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 5th-best among every team today. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, falling from 48.5% on the season to 28.6% over the last 7 days.

Bo Bichette

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst stadium in the game for right-handed base hits. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nathan Eovaldi will have the handedness advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 5th-best among every team today. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, falling from 48.5% on the season to 28.6% over the last 7 days.

Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Toronto

C. Biggio
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+108
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+108
Projection Rating

Cavan Biggio is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Cavan Biggio will have the handedness advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage today. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 20.3% to 25.2%.

Cavan Biggio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Cavan Biggio is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Cavan Biggio will have the handedness advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage today. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 20.3% to 25.2%.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst stadium in the game for right-handed base hits. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kevin Gausman will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today's game.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-worst stadium in the game for right-handed base hits. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kevin Gausman will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today's game.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre profiles as the #28 stadium in MLB for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is projected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Corey Seager has been lucky this year, putting up a .439 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .405 — a .034 deviation.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Rogers Centre profiles as the #28 stadium in MLB for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is projected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Corey Seager has been lucky this year, putting up a .439 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .405 — a .034 deviation.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Posting a .333 BABIP this year, Kevin Kiermaier has performed in the 85th percentile.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Posting a .333 BABIP this year, Kevin Kiermaier has performed in the 85th percentile.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Daulton Varsho has had bad variance on his side given the .041 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Daulton Varsho has had bad variance on his side given the .041 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Toronto

S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi today. Spencer Horwitz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi today. Spencer Horwitz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 90.5-mph. Over the last week, Alejandro Kirk's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.3%.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 90.5-mph. Over the last week, Alejandro Kirk's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.3%.

Evan Carter Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Carter
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Evan Carter has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power). Evan Carter has displayed some good exit velocity metrics in recent games, averaging 102.4-mph on his flyballs in the last 7 days. In the past week's worth of games, Evan Carter's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 66.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Evan Carter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Evan Carter has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power). Evan Carter has displayed some good exit velocity metrics in recent games, averaging 102.4-mph on his flyballs in the last 7 days. In the past week's worth of games, Evan Carter's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 66.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Davis Schneider is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Davis Schneider has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 21.2% to 30%.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Davis Schneider is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Davis Schneider has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 21.2% to 30%.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Garver
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Mitch Garver ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Mitch Garver has notched a .401 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 97th percentile. Sporting a .288 batting average this year, Mitch Garver finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Mitch Garver ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Mitch Garver has notched a .401 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 97th percentile. Sporting a .288 batting average this year, Mitch Garver finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Duran
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Ezequiel Duran has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last year's 85.4-mph mark. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 9.1% to 13.7%. Ezequiel Duran has posted a .284 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ezequiel Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Ezequiel Duran has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last year's 85.4-mph mark. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 9.1% to 13.7%. Ezequiel Duran has posted a .284 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. In the last week's worth of games, Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph of late. Jonah Heim's launch angle lately (28.2° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably higher than his 17.8° seasonal angle. Jonah Heim's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (15.8°) is significantly higher than his 11.7° mark last year.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. In the last week's worth of games, Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph of late. Jonah Heim's launch angle lately (28.2° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably higher than his 17.8° seasonal angle. Jonah Heim's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (15.8°) is significantly higher than his 11.7° mark last year.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-290
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-290
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup. George Springer has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92-mph.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup. George Springer has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92-mph.

Robbie Grossman Total Hits Props • Texas

R. Grossman
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

Robbie Grossman is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. In the last 7 days, Robbie Grossman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 22.2%. In the last week's worth of games, Robbie Grossman's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.9%. a 1.94 K/BB rate this year, Robbie Grossman has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 79th percentile.

Robbie Grossman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Robbie Grossman is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. In the last 7 days, Robbie Grossman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 22.2%. In the last week's worth of games, Robbie Grossman's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.9%. a 1.94 K/BB rate this year, Robbie Grossman has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 79th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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