Arizona @ Washington props

Nationals Park projects as the #28 stadium in the league for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. Over the last week, Luis Garcia's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%. Luis Garcia has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 82-mph in the past 7 days. Compared to his seasonal mark of 8°, Luis Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.6°) in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jake McCarthy has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Last season, Jake McCarthy had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.3°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst field in the league for righty base hits. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Lane Thomas encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Placing in the 21st percentile, Lane Thomas sits with a .257 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have an edge in today's game. Gabriel Moreno has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the last week, Gabriel Moreno's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.3%.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. In the majors, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

In the majors, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tucker Barnhart can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Tucker Barnhart's speed has increased this season. His 23.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.36 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst field in the league for righty base hits. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Ketel Marte's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 93.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 91.3-mph in the last two weeks. Ketel Marte's launch angle this year (7.1°) is significantly lower than his 10.6° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Young has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Jacob Young's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3% up to 16.7%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. In the majors, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesse Winker will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson today.

The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 37.1% to 50%. As it relates to plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.41 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 94th percentile.

Keibert Ruiz has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his strong side against Ryne Nelson in this game. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nasim Nunez pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Nasim Nunez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Nasim Nunez is remarkably quick, grading out in the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.77 ft/sec this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Christian Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Nick Senzel has suffered from bad luck this year. His .219 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .239. When it comes to plate discipline, Nick Senzel's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.47 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 91st percentile.

Eddie Rosario is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Eddie Rosario will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP. Eddie Rosario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ildemaro Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ildemaro Vargas has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 89.1-mph in the last 7 days. Ildemaro Vargas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 11.3% on the season to 20% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Meneses has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Joey Meneses will hold that advantage in today's game. Joey Meneses has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Randal Grichuk has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Randal Grichuk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Randal Grichuk pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kevin Newman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Kevin Newman has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Kevin Newman has recorded a .276 batting average this year, placing in the 80th percentile.