Milwaukee @ San Diego props

The #4 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.6-mph mark last year has dropped to 86.8-mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 11.3°, Luis Arraez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.8°) over the past 14 days.

Petco Park profiles as the #26 venue in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the same side that Carlos Rodriguez throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will not have the upper hand today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. William Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. William Contreras has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 91.2-mph mark. William Contreras has recorded a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Jackson Chourio has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week.

Sal Frelick's batting average talent is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage in today's matchup. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Sal Frelick's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (26.2° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 4.8° seasonal angle.

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Willy Adames is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Petco Park. In the last week's worth of games, Willy Adames's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 20%. Willy Adames's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (26.5° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 21.7° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Donovan Solano is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Donovan Solano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Donovan Solano will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Donovan Solano has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 90.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP talent. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Petco Park. Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez today. Christian Yelich has compiled a .387 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 96th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodriguez throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) may lead us to conclude that Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky this year with his .215 actual batting average. Ha-seong Kim has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 98th percentile with a 1.11 K/BB rate.

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Petco Park. Tyler Wade will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodriguez in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Tyler Wade will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.272) may lead us to conclude that Tyler Wade has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .250 actual batting average. Ranking in the 84th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.53 ft/sec this year, Tyler Wade is very athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jackson Merrill has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (99% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodriguez today. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jackson Merrill will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Brice Turang has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez today. Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Brice Turang has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 89.3-mph. Over the past 14 days, Brice Turang's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Petco Park.

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Petco Park. Tyler Black will have the handedness advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's game.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jurickson Profar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 42% to 51.6%. Posting a 1.17 K/BB rate this year, Jurickson Profar has shown impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 96th percentile. Jurickson Profar has put up a .316 batting average this year, ranking in the 97th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game. Sporting a .328 BABIP this year, Manny Machado has performed in the 81st percentile.

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Petco Park. Kyle Higashioka will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 17.5% to 21.7%. In the last 14 days, Kyle Higashioka's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.7%.

Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodriguez throws from, David Peralta will have the upper hand in today's game. David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and David Peralta will hold that advantage today. David Peralta's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 46.8% to 64.7%. David Peralta has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .289 figure is a good deal lower than his .333 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.