Rogue price alert! FanDuel is offering Bryan De La Cruz two dollars higher than the rest of the market at +750, while most other sportsbooks have De La Cruz priced at +550 to hit a home run on Thursday. As we move deeper into September, it becomes more difficult to get favorable weather for a home run prop, but the wind is blowing out to left field at 6 mph on Thursday night at Busch Stadium, and temperatures are expected to be just below 90 degrees. Erick Fedde will be on the mound for the Cardinals, and De La Cruz has some history against him. De La Cruz is 6 for 12 in his career against Fedde, with two doubles and a home run. BVP (batter vs. pitcher) is never the end-all-be-all, but it's definitely encouraging to see how much power De La Cruz has displayed against Fedde in his career. The projections price De La Cruz at +610 to hit a home run, so the rogue +750 available at FanDuel is the key to this wager and establishing an edge on this prop.
Jon MetlerPicked 42 min ago.
PROP
Paul Goldschmidt o1.5 total bases (+120)
Through the end of June, Goldschmidt was batting just .225 while slugging .361 in 80 games. However, the seven time All-Star has picked things up since the start of July, ramping those numbers up to .268 and .476 over 65 contests. Today, Goldschmidt and the Cards face the Pirates and Luis Ortiz who has an xERA of 4.41. Goldschmidt has gone 3-for-4 with a double against Ortiz in his career. Expect Goldschmidt to have success against either Ortiz or a Pittsburgh bullpen that ranks near the bottom of the majors in ERA (4.67) and WHIP (1.41).
Bryan De La Cruz to hit a home run (+750)
Paul Goldschmidt o1.5 total bases (+120)
