ESPN

Kansas City @ Baltimore props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

Zach Eflin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams playing today. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 14.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days. Bobby Witt Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, going from 43.7% on the season to 27.6% over the past 14 days.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Zach Eflin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams playing today. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 14.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days. Bobby Witt Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, going from 43.7% on the season to 27.6% over the past 14 days.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Ryan O'Hearn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Ryan O'Hearn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Westburg
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Jordan Westburg will have a disadvantage in today's game. Jordan Westburg pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's deepest LF fences today. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team in action today. In the last week, Jordan Westburg's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 0%. Jordan Westburg's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 91.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 81.4-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Jordan Westburg

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Jordan Westburg will have a disadvantage in today's game. Jordan Westburg pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's deepest LF fences today. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team in action today. In the last week, Jordan Westburg's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 0%. Jordan Westburg's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 91.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 81.4-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Cowser
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-164
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-164
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.

Colton Cowser

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Maikel Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia's launch angle lately (37° over the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 6.3° seasonal mark.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Maikel Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia's launch angle lately (37° over the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 6.3° seasonal mark.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's game.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's game.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. MJ Melendez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .287 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .029 gap.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. MJ Melendez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .287 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .029 gap.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 16th-best hitter in MLB. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 16th-best hitter in MLB. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge today.

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge today.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Kansas City's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Anthony Santander, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Kansas City's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Anthony Santander, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Adley Rutschman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Adley Rutschman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ramón Urías Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Urías
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today. Ramon Urias has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 93.1-mph.

Ramón Urías

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today. Ramon Urias has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 93.1-mph.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Kansas City

T. Pham
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Tommy Pham has been unlucky this year, notching a .296 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .019 deviation.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Tommy Pham has been unlucky this year, notching a .296 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .019 deviation.

Yuli Gurriel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Y. Gurriel
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Yuli Gurriel is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Yuli Gurriel has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.2-mph EV. In the past week, Yuli Gurriel's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.

Yuli Gurriel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Yuli Gurriel is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Yuli Gurriel has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.2-mph EV. In the past week, Yuli Gurriel's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.

Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City

H. Renfroe
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. In the last week's worth of games, Hunter Renfroe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 12.5%. Hunter Renfroe has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 91.1-mph over the last 14 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Hunter Renfroe has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 31.7° figure in the past week's worth of games.

Hunter Renfroe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. In the last week's worth of games, Hunter Renfroe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 12.5%. Hunter Renfroe has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 91.1-mph over the last 14 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Hunter Renfroe has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 31.7° figure in the past week's worth of games.

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Michael Massey is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Michael Massey will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup. Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Michael Massey is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The #8 ballpark in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Michael Massey will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup. Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Salvador Perez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 97.6-mph over the past 7 days.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Salvador Perez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 97.6-mph over the past 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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