Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

The Orioles offense was held in check by Garrett Crochet yesterday, but don't expect the bats to stay quiet for a second straight day as Baltimore takes the rubber match against the Red Sox.

Eric Rosales - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Apr 3, 2025 • 07:56 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Cedric Mullins Jordan Westburg Baltimore Orioles MLB
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It’s the rubber match of a three-game set between the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles this afternoon at Camden Yards.

Boston snapped an ugly four-game losing slide with a win over the O’s on Wednesday and find themselves as slight -115 moneyline favorites in the final game of this series.

Our Red Sox vs. Orioles predictions and MLB picks have the Orioles regaining their offensive flow on Thursday, April 3.

Red Sox vs Orioles prediction

My Red Sox vs Orioles best bet: Orioles moneyline (-105 at Caesars)

An offense that was churning out better than six runs per game, the Baltimore Orioles were shut down completely on Wednesday, with Garrett Crochet throwing eight innings of four-hit shutout ball, fanning eight in the process.

The Orioles have opened the season 3-3 and have alternated wins and losses in every game so far to start the season.

They turn to veteran Charlie Morton today, and the 41-year-old will try to bounce back after getting beat up by the Blue Jays in his Baltimore debut.

Morton lasted just 3 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on seven hits, with a walk and three strikeouts. He’ll face a Boston Red Sox side hitting just .225 in 71 career at-bats against him.

Like Baltimore, Boston has yet to string together consecutive wins this season, picking up their first W since Opening Day.

The Red Sox offense is still a work in progress. They rank 25th in runs scored, barely crossing three runs per game, while hitting .217 as a team. Their four home runs as a team are tied for the fourth-fewest in baseball.

They turn to righty Tanner Houck in the finale, and he’s trying to bounce back from his own rough debut. He allowed seven hits and four earned runs, including a pair of home runs, in 5 2/3 innings of work, taking the L in a 4-1 loss to the Rangers.

These teams have exchanged wins and losses over their last seven meetings, and I think Baltimore’s offense is again the most effective unit in this matchup.

Look for them to get Morton the run support he needs for them to escape with a series win.

Red Sox vs Orioles same-game parlay (SGP)

Orioles moneylline

Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 total bases

Charlie Morton Under 5.5 strikeouts

Cedric Mullins is coming off a hitless game, but it was just the second time this season that he’s been shut out. It’s been a great start to the year for him overall, as he’s hitting .350 with a 1.109 OPS, a pair of home runs, and 10 RBI.

He’s also the Oriole with the most at-bats against Houck, going 5-for-18 with a double, HR, and four RBI. 

I don’t see the same for Orioles’ starter Morton, at least in terms of strikeouts.

He laboured through his first start, throwing 80 pitches, failing to get out of the fourth inning, and fanning just three. Dating back to last season, that’s now the third straight start he’s gone Under his 5.5 strikeout total.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Red Sox vs Orioles odds

Red Sox vs Orioles live odds

Red Sox vs Orioles opening odds

  • Moneyline: Boston -110 | Baltimore -110
  • Run line: Boston -1.5 (+140) | Baltimore +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 (-110) | Under 9 (-110)

Red Sox vs Orioles trend

Boston has lost 10 straight Thursday road games against AL East opponents. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Orioles.

How to watch Red Sox vs Orioles and game info

Location Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Date Thursday, 4-3-2025
First pitch 1:05 p.m. ET
TV NESN, MASN
Red Sox starting pitcher Tanner Houck
(0-1, 6.35 ERA)
Orioles starting pitcher Charlie Morton
(0-1, 10.80 ERA)

Red Sox vs Orioles latest injuries

Red Sox vs Orioles weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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