NYM -158 o9.5
WAS +142 u9.5
MIN +112 o8.0
CLE -124 u8.0
NYY -126 o9.0
BAL +114 u9.0
STL +106 o9.5
CIN -117 u9.5
ATH -106 o9.0
TEX -104 u9.0
DET -106 o7.5
HOU -104 u7.5
ATL -166 o10.5
COL +149 u10.5
MIA +236 o8.5
LAD -271 u8.5

St. Louis @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage today. Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage today. Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Triston Casas will have an advantage today. Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Triston Casas will have an advantage today. Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Carlos Narvaez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Carlos Narvaez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Gonzalez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Romy Gonzalez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Miles Mikolas. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Romy Gonzalez will hold that advantage today.

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Romy Gonzalez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Miles Mikolas. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Romy Gonzalez will hold that advantage today.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-222
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-222
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. This year, there has been a decline in Jarren Duran's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.6 ft/sec last year to 28.6 ft/sec currently.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. This year, there has been a decline in Jarren Duran's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.6 ft/sec last year to 28.6 ft/sec currently.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Brendan Donovan has displayed some bad exit velocity statistics lately, averaging just 90-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks. Over the last 14 days, Brendan Donovan has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 5.6° angle.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Brendan Donovan has displayed some bad exit velocity statistics lately, averaging just 90-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks. Over the last 14 days, Brendan Donovan has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 5.6° angle.

Kristian Campbell Total Hits Props • Boston

K. Campbell
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP ability, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kristian Campbell will hold that advantage in today's game. Kristian Campbell has been hot lately, compiling a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the last week.

Kristian Campbell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his BABIP ability, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kristian Campbell will hold that advantage in today's game. Kristian Campbell has been hot lately, compiling a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the last week.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Masyn Winn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Masyn Winn has been hot lately, notching a 95.2-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days. Masyn Winn has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .263 BA is quite a bit lower than his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Masyn Winn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Masyn Winn has been hot lately, notching a 95.2-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days. Masyn Winn has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .263 BA is quite a bit lower than his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis

V. Scott II
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Sean Newcomb will hold the platoon advantage against Victor Scott in today's matchup. Victor Scott has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 28.6% of the time in the last 7 days. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Victor Scott has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .243 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .286.

Victor Scott II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Sean Newcomb will hold the platoon advantage against Victor Scott in today's matchup. Victor Scott has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 28.6% of the time in the last 7 days. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Victor Scott has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .243 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .286.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ceddanne Rafaela has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.2° figure is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (90th percentile).

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ceddanne Rafaela has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.2° figure is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (90th percentile).

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Sean Newcomb will have the handedness advantage over Lars Nootbaar today. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Sean Newcomb will have the handedness advantage over Lars Nootbaar today. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alex Bregman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Alex Bregman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alex Bregman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Alex Bregman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Burleson
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Batting from the same side that Sean Newcomb throws from, Alec Burleson will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Alec Burleson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Alec Burleson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average. Batting from the same side that Sean Newcomb throws from, Alec Burleson will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Alec Burleson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (41.7% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. By putting up a 1.95 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado has demonstrated good plate discipline, placing in the 77th percentile. Nolan Arenado has compiled a .276 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (41.7% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. By putting up a 1.95 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado has demonstrated good plate discipline, placing in the 77th percentile. Nolan Arenado has compiled a .276 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile.

Pedro Pages Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Pages
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Pedro Pages has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), ranking in the 97th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Pedro Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Pedro Pages has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), ranking in the 97th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Jordan Walker has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the last 7 days — 115.8-mph — which is a good indicator of recent form and raw power. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jordan Walker has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.5 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), ranking in the 98th percentile.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Jordan Walker has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the last 7 days — 115.8-mph — which is a good indicator of recent form and raw power. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jordan Walker has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.5 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), ranking in the 98th percentile.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage today.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage today.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Willson Contreras has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Willson Contreras has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 69.2% of the time in the past 14 days.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Willson Contreras has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Willson Contreras has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 69.2% of the time in the past 14 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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