Toronto @ Boston props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup expects the 6th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 36°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers. Richard Fitts will hold the platoon advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup expects the 6th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 36°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers. Richard Fitts will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup expects the 6th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 36°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers. Batting from the same side that Easton Lucas throws from, Jarren Duran will have a tough challenge today. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Triston Casas will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Easton Lucas throws from, Kristian Campbell will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kristian Campbell will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Wilyer Abreu is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Toronto (#2-worst of the day). Wilyer Abreu will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Connor Wong will have the handedness advantage over Easton Lucas in today's matchup. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Connor Wong has posted a 38° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. Alan Roden will hold the platoon advantage against Richard Fitts in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Alan Roden's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.8-mph over the course of the season to 103.8-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Richard Fitts throws from, Will Wagner will have an advantage in today's matchup. Will Wagner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Batters such as Will Wagner with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Richard Fitts who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Richard Fitts today.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Santander has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 71.4% of the time over the last 7 days. Anthony Santander's 22.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Ernie Clement grades out in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.9% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Easton Lucas throws from, Trevor Story will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums. George Springer has been hot of late, posting a a 23.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) in the past two weeks' worth of games. George Springer has exhibited some good exit velocity statistics in recent games, averaging 102.2-mph on his flyballs over the past week.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alex Bregman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Easton Lucas today. Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Easton Lucas throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have the upper hand today. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Romy Gonzalez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Easton Lucas.

Tyler Heineman has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 3 games.

Rob Refsnyder has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 3 games.

Ceddanne Rafaela has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 9 games.