NY -6.0 o220.5
PHI 6.0 u220.5
BOS -14.5 o229.5
TOR 14.5 u229.5
ATL 2.0 o243.0
CHI -2.0 u243.0
MEM -2.5 o238.5
SA 2.5 u238.5
ORL 6.0 o212.0
MIL -6.0 u212.0
DAL -2.0 o225.5
NO 2.0 u225.5
HOU 1.0 o230.5
DEN -1.0 u230.5
CHA -5.0 o221.0
UTA 5.0 u221.0
GS 6.0 o215.0
MIN -6.0 u215.0
MIA 5.0 o215.5
LAL -5.0 u215.5
BK 14.0 o213.0
LAC -14.0 u213.0
Miami 8th Eastern Conference44-38
Philadelphia 3rd Eastern Conference54-28
TNT

Miami @ Philadelphia props

Wells Fargo Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has attempted 15.1 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 12.2 mark last season. Bam Adebayo has converted a whopping 9.1% of his treys this season, a sizeable increase from his 0.0 mark last season. Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a good one for scoring; when the 76ers are on their home court, opposing starting Cs have put up the 26th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (62.9%).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Bam Adebayo has attempted 15.1 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 12.2 mark last season. Bam Adebayo has converted a whopping 9.1% of his treys this season, a sizeable increase from his 0.0 mark last season. Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a good one for scoring; when the 76ers are on their home court, opposing starting Cs have put up the 26th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (62.9%).

James Harden Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

J. Harden
shooting guard SG • Philadelphia
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

James Harden has posted 21.0 points per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category. James Harden has converted 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. James Harden has played 36.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

James Harden has posted 21.0 points per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category. James Harden has converted 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. James Harden has played 36.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Joel Embiid Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

J. Embiid
center C • Philadelphia
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Joel Embiid has averaged an impressive 33.3 points per game this year, quite a bit more than his 29.7 points per game last year. Joel Embiid has tallied 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 93rd percentile. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Joel Embiid has converted an impressive 10.1 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 9.3 rate last season.

Joel Embiid

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.9
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.9

Joel Embiid has averaged an impressive 33.3 points per game this year, quite a bit more than his 29.7 points per game last year. Joel Embiid has tallied 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 93rd percentile. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Joel Embiid has converted an impressive 10.1 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 9.3 rate last season.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has made a terrific 3.1 treys per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.4 mark last year. Tyler Herro has tallied 34.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts. The matchup against Philadelphia is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the 76ers are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 24th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.9%). The 76ers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

Tyler Herro has made a terrific 3.1 treys per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.4 mark last year. Tyler Herro has tallied 34.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts. The matchup against Philadelphia is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the 76ers are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 24th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.9%). The 76ers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Miami

M. Strus
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-119
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-119
Projection Rating

Max Strus has successfully made 45.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 11.8% higher than he's sunk overall this season. The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts. The 76ers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Max Strus has made a whopping 87.6% of his free throws this season, significantly higher than his 78.5 rate last season. The matchup against the 76ers is a good one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 3.7 free throws per game this year (26th-most in the NBA).

Max Strus

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Max Strus has successfully made 45.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 11.8% higher than he's sunk overall this season. The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts. The 76ers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Max Strus has made a whopping 87.6% of his free throws this season, significantly higher than his 78.5 rate last season. The matchup against the 76ers is a good one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 3.7 free throws per game this year (26th-most in the NBA).

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler has posted 26.5 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.6 higher than he's posted overall this year. Jimmy Butler has converted 51.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 17.1% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 89th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. the 76ers is a positive one; they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 10 games (17.9).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

Jimmy Butler has posted 26.5 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.6 higher than he's posted overall this year. Jimmy Butler has converted 51.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 17.1% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 89th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. the 76ers is a positive one; they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 10 games (17.9).

Tobias Harris Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Harris
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Tobias Harris has converted 56.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 6.3% higher than he's converted overall this season. Tobias Harris has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 88th percentile. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Tobias Harris has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.2% more than he's converted overall this season.

Tobias Harris

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Tobias Harris has converted 56.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 6.3% higher than he's converted overall this season. Tobias Harris has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 88th percentile. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Tobias Harris has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.2% more than he's converted overall this season.

Gabe Vincent Points Scored Props • Miami

G. Vincent
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Gabe Vincent has successfully made 38.2% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Gabe Vincent has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (77th percentile). The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a difficult one; when the 76ers have the home court advantage, they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (16.2). The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Heat.

Gabe Vincent

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Gabe Vincent has successfully made 38.2% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Gabe Vincent has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (77th percentile). The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a difficult one; when the 76ers have the home court advantage, they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (16.2). The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Heat.

P.J. Tucker Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

P. Tucker
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+102
Under
-139
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
+102
Under
-139

De'Anthony Melton Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

D. Melton
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-127
Under
-108
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-127
Under
-108

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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