Miami @ Washington picks

Kendrick Nunn has attempted 12.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's attempted overall this year. Kendrick Nunn has successfully made 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from three overall this year. Kendrick Nunn has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 17th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. The Washington Wizards have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Daniel Gafford has sunk 72.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, -5.7% lower than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing at home. Daniel Gafford has converted 0.0% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 3rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Daniel Gafford has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.8 more than he's averaged overall this season at home. The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs this year (12.1). The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Wizards.

Duncan Robinson has converted 35.1% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 8th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Wizards is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (15.5). The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Wizards have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin has converted 53.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.8% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Caleb Martin has played 29.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Wizards is a tough one for attempts from downtown; opposing squads have averaged the 6th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (32.8). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Heat.

Max Strus has made 42.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 8.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. Washington is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Wizards are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (40.7%). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Heat. Max Strus has converted a terrific 87.6% of his foul shots this year, a significant increase from his 78.5 mark last year.

The matchup against the Wizards is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 11th-least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.3). The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Wizards have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Haywood Highsmith will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

Johnny Davis has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.4 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home. The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Wizards. The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).