Miami @ Milwaukee picks

Gabe Vincent has attempted 5.1 threes per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The matchup against Miami is a difficult one for threes; when the Heat are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (24.9%). The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Bucks. Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted a measly 63.6% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit less than his 72.0 rate last year. As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at drawing fouls in recent days: worst in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, tallying just 18.8 free throws per game.

Bam Adebayo has made 7.9 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo has converted a terrific 9.1% of his 3-pointers this season, a big improvement over his 0.0 mark last season. Bam Adebayo has played 34.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 94th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.