Denver 1st Western Conference53-29
Minnesota 8th Western Conference42-40
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Denver @ Minnesota props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Green
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Jeff Green has converted 1.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year while playing on the road. The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Jeff Green has made 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season while on the road. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the league).

Jeff Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Jeff Green has converted 1.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year while playing on the road. The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Jeff Green has made 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season while on the road. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the league).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has sunk 54.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 17.2% more than he's made from downtown overall this year. Mike Conley has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The Nuggets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley has sunk 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 more than he's put through the net overall this season while playing at home.

Mike Conley

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Mike Conley has sunk 54.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 17.2% more than he's made from downtown overall this year. Mike Conley has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The Nuggets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley has sunk 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 more than he's put through the net overall this season while playing at home.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has sunk 66.7% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has averaged 29.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The Nuggets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Rudy Gobert has attempted 6.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Rudy Gobert has sunk 66.7% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has averaged 29.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The Nuggets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Rudy Gobert has attempted 6.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Denver

B. Brown
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Bruce Brown has attempted 3.2 3-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.5 rate last season. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a good one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 29th-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (7.4). The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Bruce Brown has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 21.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year while playing on the road. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.3 free throws per game this year when the Timberwolves are on their home court (29th-most in the league).

Bruce Brown

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Bruce Brown has attempted 3.2 3-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.5 rate last season. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a good one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 29th-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (7.4). The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Bruce Brown has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 21.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year while playing on the road. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.3 free throws per game this year when the Timberwolves are on their home court (29th-most in the league).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Under
-111
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Under
-111
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's accumulated overall this season. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home. The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets. The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Jamal Murray has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's accumulated overall this season. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home. The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets. The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (15.4). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting team (13th-least in the league).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.7
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.7

The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (15.4). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting team (13th-least in the league).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 57.1% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a favorable one; they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (19.1). The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Timberwolves is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the league).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 57.1% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a favorable one; they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (19.1). The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Timberwolves is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the league).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has made 9.3 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. Nikola Jokic has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (1.8). The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Nikola Jokic has converted 4.3 foul shots per game on the road this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

Nikola Jokic has made 9.3 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. Nikola Jokic has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (1.8). The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Nikola Jokic has converted 4.3 foul shots per game on the road this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
+100
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
+100

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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