New York @ Miami picks

Julius Randle has converted 38.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, -6.1% lower than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Julius Randle has made 20.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, -9.4% lower than he's sunk over the course of the season. The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (28.6%). The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.

Jimmy Butler has posted 35.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.6 more than he's posted over the course of the year. Jimmy Butler has converted 51.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 14.9% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year while playing at home. Jimmy Butler has averaged 33.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.