New York @ Miami picks

Quentin Grimes has converted an impressive 43.8% of his shots from the field this season, a big improvement over his 38.1 rate last season. Quentin Grimes has sunk 3.1 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season. Quentin Grimes has played 28.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 75th percentile. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Max Strus has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. New York is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.3 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are the visiting team (15th-least in the league).

The New York Knicks check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (5.7). The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Knicks. The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games (10th-least in the league).