New York 5th Eastern Conference47-35
Miami 8th Eastern Conference44-38

New York @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • New York

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Quentin Grimes has converted an impressive 43.8% of his shots from the field this season, a big improvement over his 38.1 rate last season. Quentin Grimes has sunk 3.1 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season. Quentin Grimes has played 28.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 75th percentile. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Quentin Grimes has converted an impressive 43.8% of his shots from the field this season, a big improvement over his 38.1 rate last season. Quentin Grimes has sunk 3.1 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season. Quentin Grimes has played 28.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 75th percentile. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Miami

M. Strus
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Max Strus has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. New York is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.3 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are the visiting team (15th-least in the league).

Max Strus

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Max Strus has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. New York is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.3 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are the visiting team (15th-least in the league).

Jalen Brunson Points Scored Props • New York

J. Brunson
point guard PG • New York
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The New York Knicks check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (5.7). The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Knicks. The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games (10th-least in the league).

Jalen Brunson

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.2

The New York Knicks check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (5.7). The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Knicks. The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games (10th-least in the league).

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • New York

R. Barrett
small forward SF • New York
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

RJ Barrett has attempted 16.0 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. RJ Barrett has attempted 5.3 3-point shots per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. RJ Barrett has tallied 32.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Heat have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

RJ Barrett has attempted 16.0 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA. RJ Barrett has attempted 5.3 3-point shots per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. RJ Barrett has tallied 32.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Heat have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • New York

J. Randle
power forward PF • New York
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Julius Randle has made 38.9% of his field goals over the last 15 games, -5.5% less than he's sunk overall this year. Julius Randle has sunk 20.3% of his treys over the last 15 games, -9.3% less than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. The New York Knicks check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup against the Heat is a hard one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have put up the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (28.3%). The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Julius Randle

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Julius Randle has made 38.9% of his field goals over the last 15 games, -5.5% less than he's sunk overall this year. Julius Randle has sunk 20.3% of his treys over the last 15 games, -9.3% less than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. The New York Knicks check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup against the Heat is a hard one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have put up the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (28.3%). The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from downtown. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 15.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while at home. Kevin Love will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to boosts player production in all stat categories.

Kevin Love

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from downtown. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 15.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while at home. Kevin Love will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to boosts player production in all stat categories.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • New York

I. Hartenstein
center C • New York
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a measly 19.9 foul shots per game when the Heat have the home court advantage this year (least in the league).

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.2
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.2

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a measly 19.9 foul shots per game when the Heat have the home court advantage this year (least in the league).

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler has averaged 36.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 12.1 more than he's averaged overall this year. Jimmy Butler has successfully made 47.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 12.1% more than he's made from three in all games this year at home. Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from downtown. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.8
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.8

Jimmy Butler has averaged 36.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 12.1 more than he's averaged overall this year. Jimmy Butler has successfully made 47.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 12.1% more than he's made from three in all games this year at home. Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from downtown. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin has converted 52.8% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 7.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year playing at home. Caleb Martin has been on the court for a whopping 28.6 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 20.1 minutes per game last year. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from downtown. The matchup against the Knicks is a strong one; they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (16.7). The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

Caleb Martin has converted 52.8% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 7.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year playing at home. Caleb Martin has been on the court for a whopping 28.6 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 20.1 minutes per game last year. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from downtown. The matchup against the Knicks is a strong one; they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (16.7). The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Kyle Lowry has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Kyle Lowry has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Gabe Vincent Points Scored Props • Miami

G. Vincent
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

Gabe Vincent has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Gabe Vincent

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Gabe Vincent has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The matchup vs. the Knicks is a hard one for scoring; the opposition's starting Cs have tallied the 15th-least buckets per game in the league this year (4.8). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Bam Adebayo has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The matchup vs. the Knicks is a hard one for scoring; the opposition's starting Cs have tallied the 15th-least buckets per game in the league this year (4.8). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Mitchell Robinson Points Scored Props • New York

M. Robinson
center C • New York
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Mitchell Robinson has attempted 3.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Mitchell Robinson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Mitchell Robinson has attempted 3.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Josh Hart Points Scored Props • New York

J. Hart
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Josh Hart has attempted 11.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Josh Hart has converted 48.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games on the road, 11.7% more than he's converted over the course of the year when playing on the road. Josh Hart has been on the court for 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Josh Hart

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Josh Hart has attempted 11.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Josh Hart has converted 48.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games on the road, 11.7% more than he's converted over the course of the year when playing on the road. Josh Hart has been on the court for 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.31
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
7.31
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125

Duncan Robinson has gone over 5.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Obi Toppin Points Scored Props • New York

O. Toppin
power forward PF • New York
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.36
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+110
Under
-140
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
7.36
Best Odds
Over
+110
Under
-140

Obi Toppin has gone over 6.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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