Brooklyn 11th EASTERN CONFERENCE32-50
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Sportsnet

Brooklyn @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mikal Bridges Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

M. Bridges
shooting guard SG • Brooklyn
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-104

In comparison to last year's 38.7% mark, Mikal Bridges's three-point performance has declined this year to 28.6%. Mikal Bridges has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home. This matchup is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Heat are on the road, their opposition has put up the 4th-highest three rate in the NBA against them this year (38.5%). The 9th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets. The Miami Heat have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.

Mikal Bridges

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

In comparison to last year's 38.7% mark, Mikal Bridges's three-point performance has declined this year to 28.6%. Mikal Bridges has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home. This matchup is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Heat are on the road, their opposition has put up the 4th-highest three rate in the NBA against them this year (38.5%). The 9th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets. The Miami Heat have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.

Nic Claxton Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

N. Claxton
center C • Brooklyn
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
+107
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
+107
Projection Rating

Nic Claxton has successfully made 68.7% of his field goal attempts while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Nic Claxton lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 29.2 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season. The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have put up the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (60.0%). This year, opposing clubs have come down with 8.3 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Nic Claxton

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Nic Claxton has successfully made 68.7% of his field goal attempts while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Nic Claxton lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 29.2 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season. The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have put up the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (60.0%). This year, opposing clubs have come down with 8.3 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Cameron Johnson Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

C. Johnson
power forward PF • Brooklyn
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Cameron Johnson comes in at the 81st percentile, totaling an enormous 15.6 points per game away from home since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Cameron Johnson lands in the 93rd percentile for threes drained away from home, putting up 2.5 per game since the start of last season. The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing clubs have come down with 8.3 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Cameron Johnson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Cameron Johnson comes in at the 81st percentile, totaling an enormous 15.6 points per game away from home since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Cameron Johnson lands in the 93rd percentile for threes drained away from home, putting up 2.5 per game since the start of last season. The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing clubs have come down with 8.3 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

D. Finney-Smith
small forward SF • Brooklyn
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-104

Relative to last year's 8.8 mark, Dorian Finney-Smith's points per game have increased this year to 15.2. The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing clubs have come down with 8.3 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Dorian Finney-Smith

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Relative to last year's 8.8 mark, Dorian Finney-Smith's points per game have increased this year to 15.2. The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing clubs have come down with 8.3 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Lonnie Walker IV Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

L. Walker IV
shooting guard SG • Brooklyn
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 10.6 mark, Lonnie Walker IV's points per game have spiked this season to 15.0. In comparison to last year's 1.5 mark, Lonnie Walker IV's 3-pointers sunk have surged this year to 2.3 per game. The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing clubs have come down with 8.3 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense). Compared to last season's 1.7 rate, Lonnie Walker IV's number of foul shots has jumped this season to 3.6 foul shots per game.

Lonnie Walker IV

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

In comparison to last season's 10.6 mark, Lonnie Walker IV's points per game have spiked this season to 15.0. In comparison to last year's 1.5 mark, Lonnie Walker IV's 3-pointers sunk have surged this year to 2.3 per game. The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing clubs have come down with 8.3 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense). Compared to last season's 1.7 rate, Lonnie Walker IV's number of foul shots has jumped this season to 3.6 foul shots per game.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. While at home, the Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 88.8% rate, Kyle Lowry's foul-shot performance has risen this year to 100.0%. The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 4.3 free throws per game since the start of last season (21st-most in the league). Kyle Lowry ought to see a spike in performance in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. While at home, the Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 88.8% rate, Kyle Lowry's foul-shot performance has risen this year to 100.0%. The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 4.3 free throws per game since the start of last season (21st-most in the league). Kyle Lowry ought to see a spike in performance in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Day'Ron Sharpe Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

D. Sharpe
center C • Brooklyn
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 55.0% clip, Day'Ron Sharpe's 3-point prowess has declined this year to 0.0%. Day'Ron Sharpe has tallied a lowly 10.6 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 11.9 minutes per game last season. This matchup is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Heat are on the road, their opposition has put up the 4th-highest three rate in the NBA against them this year (38.5%). The 9th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets. The Miami Heat have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.

Day'Ron Sharpe

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Compared to last year's 55.0% clip, Day'Ron Sharpe's 3-point prowess has declined this year to 0.0%. Day'Ron Sharpe has tallied a lowly 10.6 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 11.9 minutes per game last season. This matchup is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Heat are on the road, their opposition has put up the 4th-highest three rate in the NBA against them this year (38.5%). The 9th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets. The Miami Heat have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.

Josh Richardson Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Richardson
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. While at home, the Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Josh Richardson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. This matchup is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 20.7 free throws per game when the Brooklyn Nets are the visiting team this year (6th-least in the league). Josh Richardson ought to see a spike in performance in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Josh Richardson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. While at home, the Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Josh Richardson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. This matchup is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 20.7 free throws per game when the Brooklyn Nets are the visiting team this year (6th-least in the league). Josh Richardson ought to see a spike in performance in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

This matchup is a good one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (40.4). The 7th-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Heat. The Nets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 9thworst in in the NBA while playing at home with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

This matchup is a good one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (40.4). The 7th-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Heat. The Nets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 9thworst in in the NBA while playing at home with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. While at home, the Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Haywood Highsmith ought to get a boost in output for all stats due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. While at home, the Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Haywood Highsmith ought to get a boost in output for all stats due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Brooklyn
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-104

Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made a whopping 3.0 3-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 2.3 mark last year. The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Miami Heat are on the road, opposing starting PGs have put up the 23rd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (42.6%). This year, opposing clubs have come down with 8.3 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made a whopping 3.0 3-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 2.3 mark last year. The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Miami Heat are on the road, opposing starting PGs have put up the 23rd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (42.6%). This year, opposing clubs have come down with 8.3 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Over
-114

Bam Adebayo has converted 8.4 baskets per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Bam Adebayo has successfully made an impressive 100.0% of his 3-point attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.0 mark last year. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 33.0 minutes per game this year. The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. While at home, the Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

Bam Adebayo has converted 8.4 baskets per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Bam Adebayo has successfully made an impressive 100.0% of his 3-point attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.0 mark last year. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 33.0 minutes per game this year. The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. While at home, the Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jimmy Butler has converted a whopping 7.3 buckets per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.0 mark last season. Relative to last season's 31.6% rate, Jimmy Butler's three-point ability has surged this season to 51.2%. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 39.6% on 3-pointers (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Nets, designating this as a strong matchup.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

Jimmy Butler has converted a whopping 7.3 buckets per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.0 mark last season. Relative to last season's 31.6% rate, Jimmy Butler's three-point ability has surged this season to 51.2%. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 39.6% on 3-pointers (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Nets, designating this as a strong matchup.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Duncan Robinson has attempted 10.9 field goals per game this year, a significant increase from his 6.1 mark last year. Duncan Robinson has attempted 7.3 3-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 4.7 rate last year. Duncan Robinson has played 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 4.7 higher than he's played overall this year at home. The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 18.1 points per game (28th-most in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive output.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Duncan Robinson has attempted 10.9 field goals per game this year, a significant increase from his 6.1 mark last year. Duncan Robinson has attempted 7.3 3-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 4.7 rate last year. Duncan Robinson has played 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 4.7 higher than he's played overall this year at home. The Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 18.1 points per game (28th-most in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive output.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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