Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
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Memphis @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Over the last 15 games, their opposition has shot 43.8% on field goal attempts (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Thunder, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league while on the road this year. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Thunder). Santi Aldama has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 18.3% more than he's converted overall this year away from his home court.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Over the last 15 games, their opposition has shot 43.8% on field goal attempts (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Thunder, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league while on the road this year. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Thunder). Santi Aldama has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 18.3% more than he's converted overall this year away from his home court.

Xavier Tillman Points Scored Props • Memphis

X. Tillman
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Under
-108
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Under
-108
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies rank 2ndworst in in the league away from their home court with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (14.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last season's 54.4% clip, Xavier Tillman's free-throw proficiency has decreased this season to 36.7%. Xavier Tillman will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Xavier Tillman

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies rank 2ndworst in in the league away from their home court with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (14.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last season's 54.4% clip, Xavier Tillman's free-throw proficiency has decreased this season to 36.7%. Xavier Tillman will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

David Roddy Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Roddy
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

David Roddy has attempted 4.8 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Over the last 15 games, their opposition has shot 43.8% on field goal attempts (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Thunder, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league while on the road this year. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Thunder).

David Roddy

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

David Roddy has attempted 4.8 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. Over the last 15 games, their opposition has shot 43.8% on field goal attempts (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Thunder, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league while on the road this year. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Thunder).

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Vince Williams Jr. has notched an impressive 5.6 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 2.0 points per game last season. Vince Williams Jr. has played 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's played over the course of the season. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league while on the road this year. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Thunder).

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Vince Williams Jr. has notched an impressive 5.6 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 2.0 points per game last season. Vince Williams Jr. has played 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's played over the course of the season. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league while on the road this year. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Thunder).

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
+100

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Giddey measures in the 77th percentile for shots taken, totaling 11.6 per game this year. Josh Giddey has sunk 1.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Thunder.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Among all players in the NBA, Josh Giddey measures in the 77th percentile for shots taken, totaling 11.6 per game this year. Josh Giddey has sunk 1.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Thunder.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Cason Wallace has sunk 55.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Cason Wallace rates in the 94th percentile for three-point effectiveness at home with a an outstanding 51.7% rate this year. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Thunder.

Cason Wallace

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

Cason Wallace has sunk 55.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Cason Wallace rates in the 94th percentile for three-point effectiveness at home with a an outstanding 51.7% rate this year. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Thunder.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
25
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jaren Jackson Jr. has registered 30.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.6 higher than he's registered in all games this year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has tallied 30.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league while on the road this year.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25

Jaren Jackson Jr. has registered 30.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.6 higher than he's registered in all games this year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has tallied 30.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league while on the road this year.

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Joe places in the 89th percentile for 3-pointers converted, logging 2.4 per game this year. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Thunder. The Grizzlies have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Joe places in the 89th percentile for 3-pointers converted, logging 2.4 per game this year. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Thunder. The Grizzlies have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Under
-120

Desmond Bane has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies rank 2ndworst in in the league away from their home court with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (14.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the league). Desmond Bane stands to see a decline in performance in all stat categories due to being on the road in this contest.

Desmond Bane

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

Desmond Bane has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies rank 2ndworst in in the league away from their home court with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (14.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the league). Desmond Bane stands to see a decline in performance in all stat categories due to being on the road in this contest.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jalen Williams has converted 71.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 23.7% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season while on his home court. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 6.5 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, creating a positive matchup. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Jalen Williams has converted 71.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 23.7% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season while on his home court. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 6.5 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, creating a positive matchup. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has registered 34.4 points per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.2 higher than he's registered overall this year at home. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Thunder.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.3
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.3

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has registered 34.4 points per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.2 higher than he's registered overall this year at home. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Thunder.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-130

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Thunder. The Grizzlies have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort has converted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Thunder. The Grizzlies have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort has converted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-105

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren lands in the 83rd percentile, putting up an enormous 16.9 points per game this year. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Thunder. The Grizzlies have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren lands in the 83rd percentile, putting up an enormous 16.9 points per game this year. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 126.6 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Thunder. The Grizzlies have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jacob Gilyard Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Gilyard
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jacob Gilyard ranks in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, totaling only 1.0 fouls per game on the road this year. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league while on the road this year. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Thunder).

Jacob Gilyard

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

Among all players in the league, Jacob Gilyard ranks in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, totaling only 1.0 fouls per game on the road this year. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league while on the road this year. The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Thunder).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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