LA 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE51-31
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
BSN, NBALP

LA @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
36.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.8
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
36.5 Points Scored
Projection
32.8
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Clippers). The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). When playing away from home, the LA Clippers have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Luka Doncic has attempted just 8.0 free throws per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 10.5 mark last season.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 36.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.8
Prop:
36.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.8

The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Clippers). The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). When playing away from home, the LA Clippers have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Luka Doncic has attempted just 8.0 free throws per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 10.5 mark last season.

Kawhi Leonard Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Leonard
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
27
Best Odds
Under
-115

In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Kawhi Leonard will likely see a decline in performance across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

Kawhi Leonard

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27

In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Kawhi Leonard will likely see a decline in performance across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

Amir Coffey Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

A. Coffey
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Amir Coffey has notched 2.5 points per game this year, placing him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 7th percentile. Amir Coffey has sunk 30.4% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA. Amir Coffey has played 9.4 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the league: 9th percentile. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (0.8).

Amir Coffey

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Amir Coffey has notched 2.5 points per game this year, placing him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 7th percentile. Amir Coffey has sunk 30.4% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA. Amir Coffey has played 9.4 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the league: 9th percentile. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (0.8).

Daniel Theis Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

D. Theis
power forward PF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Daniel Theis has sunk 100.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 33.3% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year away from his home court. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a challenging one for three-point attempts; opposing clubs have totaled the 8th-fewest three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (32.4). The LA Clippers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). The Clippers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Daniel Theis has converted 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Daniel Theis

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Daniel Theis has sunk 100.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 33.3% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year away from his home court. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a challenging one for three-point attempts; opposing clubs have totaled the 8th-fewest three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (32.4). The LA Clippers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). The Clippers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Daniel Theis has converted 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Norman Powell Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

N. Powell
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Norman Powell has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Norman Powell will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Norman Powell

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Norman Powell has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Norman Powell will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Ivica Zubac Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

I. Zubac
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-118

Ivica Zubac has sunk 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing away from home. The rate of field goals drained against Dwight Powell has been very high (63.6%) when he is on his home court and defending other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The LA Clippers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). The Clippers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Dwight Powell has been quite high this year (4.3 free throws per game when they are playing on the road: 83rd percentile).

Ivica Zubac

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Ivica Zubac has sunk 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing away from home. The rate of field goals drained against Dwight Powell has been very high (63.6%) when he is on his home court and defending other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The LA Clippers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). The Clippers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Dwight Powell has been quite high this year (4.3 free throws per game when they are playing on the road: 83rd percentile).

Terance Mann Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

T. Mann
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Terance Mann comes in at the 16th percentile for 3-point performance with a a weak 23.7% rate this year. Terance Mann has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Terance Mann

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Out of all players in the league, Terance Mann comes in at the 16th percentile for 3-point performance with a a weak 23.7% rate this year. Terance Mann has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Paul George Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

P. George
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Paul George has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Paul George ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this game.

Paul George

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

Paul George has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Clippers. The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Paul George ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this game.

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-104

Dante Exum has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's committed overall this year. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one; when the LA Clippers are on the road, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (11.4). The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Clippers). The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). When playing away from home, the LA Clippers have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dante Exum

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Dante Exum has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's committed overall this year. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one; when the LA Clippers are on the road, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (11.4). The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Clippers). The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). When playing away from home, the LA Clippers have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dwight Powell Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Powell
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Dwight Powell has successfully made 100.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season playing at home. In comparison to last season's 0.0% rate, Dwight Powell's 3-point ability has jumped this season to 100.0%. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.3 points per game settles in as the 6th-most in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Ivica Zubac has been quite high (3.3 foul shot attempts per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (79th percentile).

Dwight Powell

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Dwight Powell has successfully made 100.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season playing at home. In comparison to last season's 0.0% rate, Dwight Powell's 3-point ability has jumped this season to 100.0%. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.3 points per game settles in as the 6th-most in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Ivica Zubac has been quite high (3.3 foul shot attempts per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (79th percentile).

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 16.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year. In contrast to last year's 7.8 rate, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shot attempts from beyond the arc have risen this year to 9.3 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.3 points per game settles in as the 6th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for scoring; opposing teams have posted the 5th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (45.4%).

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 16.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year. In contrast to last year's 7.8 rate, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shot attempts from beyond the arc have risen this year to 9.3 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.3 points per game settles in as the 6th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for scoring; opposing teams have posted the 5th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (45.4%).

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-125

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's converted overall this season on his home court. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.3 points per game settles in as the 6th-most in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick Jones Jr. measures in the 83rd percentile for free-throw ability when playing at home with a a very good 92.0% rate this year. Derrick Jones Jr. figures to see a rise in effectiveness across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Derrick Jones Jr. has made 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's converted overall this season on his home court. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.3 points per game settles in as the 6th-most in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick Jones Jr. measures in the 83rd percentile for free-throw ability when playing at home with a a very good 92.0% rate this year. Derrick Jones Jr. figures to see a rise in effectiveness across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
+100

Out of all players in the league, Grant Williams rates in the 84th percentile for three-pointers scored while at home, logging 2.2 per game this year. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.3 points per game settles in as the 6th-most in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The matchup vs. the LA Clippers is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.1 foul shots per game this year (22nd-most in the league). Grant Williams is expected to see an increase in performance in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Grant Williams

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Out of all players in the league, Grant Williams rates in the 84th percentile for three-pointers scored while at home, logging 2.2 per game this year. In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.3 points per game settles in as the 6th-most in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The matchup vs. the LA Clippers is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.1 foul shots per game this year (22nd-most in the league). Grant Williams is expected to see an increase in performance in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

J. Harden
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
-120

James Harden has sunk 4.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year away from his home court. Among all players in the NBA, James Harden rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.3 minutes per game this year. The LA Clippers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). The Clippers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). James Harden has successfully made 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's made over the course of the season.

James Harden

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

James Harden has sunk 4.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year away from his home court. Among all players in the NBA, James Harden rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.3 minutes per game this year. The LA Clippers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks). The Clippers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). James Harden has successfully made 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's made over the course of the season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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