Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Utah 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE31-51
Detroit 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-68
BSN, NBALP, KJZZ

Utah @ Detroit props

Little Caesars Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Marvin Bagley III Points Scored Props • Detroit

M. Bagley III
power forward PF • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 1.6 mark, Marvin Bagley III's shots from behind the three-point arc have declined this season to 0.2 per game. Marvin Bagley III has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (86th percentile). The number of three-point shots attempted against John Collins has been remarkably low (1.0 per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (7th percentile). Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Marvin Bagley III

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Compared to last season's 1.6 mark, Marvin Bagley III's shots from behind the three-point arc have declined this season to 0.2 per game. Marvin Bagley III has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (86th percentile). The number of three-point shots attempted against John Collins has been remarkably low (1.0 per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (7th percentile). Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Ausar Thompson Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. This matchup is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 18.4 free throws per game when the Utah Jazz are away from home this year (least in the NBA). Ausar Thompson is expected to see a rise in performance in all facets of the game in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Ausar Thompson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

The 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. This matchup is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 18.4 free throws per game when the Utah Jazz are away from home this year (least in the NBA). Ausar Thompson is expected to see a rise in performance in all facets of the game in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Ochai Agbaji Points Scored Props • Utah

O. Agbaji
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). With the home court advantage, the Detroit Pistons have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Ochai Agbaji has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 33.3% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Ochai Agbaji

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

The Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). With the home court advantage, the Detroit Pistons have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Ochai Agbaji has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 33.3% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

Walker Kessler has sunk 69.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season. The Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). With the home court advantage, the Detroit Pistons have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Walker Kessler

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Walker Kessler has sunk 69.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season. The Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). With the home court advantage, the Detroit Pistons have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Detroit

B. Bogdanovic
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Under
+102

Bojan Bogdanovic has committed 0.0 technical fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Bojan Bogdanovic has sunk a lowly 69.6% of his foul shots this season, a significant dropoff from his 88.0 mark last season. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Bojan Bogdanovic

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Bojan Bogdanovic has committed 0.0 technical fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Bojan Bogdanovic has sunk a lowly 69.6% of his foul shots this season, a significant dropoff from his 88.0 mark last season. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • Utah

K. Dunn
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Kris Dunn has sunk 77.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 24.8% more than he's made over the course of the year. Kris Dunn has made 61.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 14.7% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a strong one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (21.2). The Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kris Dunn

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Kris Dunn has sunk 77.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 24.8% more than he's made over the course of the year. Kris Dunn has made 61.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 14.7% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a strong one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (21.2). The Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Simone Fontecchio Points Scored Props • Utah

S. Fontecchio
small forward SF • Utah
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-105

Simone Fontecchio has attempted 6.1 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Simone Fontecchio has tallied 28.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup against Detroit is a positive one; when the Detroit Pistons are on their home court, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 16 games (19.5). The Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Simone Fontecchio

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Simone Fontecchio has attempted 6.1 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Simone Fontecchio has tallied 28.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup against Detroit is a positive one; when the Detroit Pistons are on their home court, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 16 games (19.5). The Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

C. Cunningham
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Under
-120

The matchup vs. the Jazz is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 15th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (26.5%). Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Utah is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year when the Utah Jazz are away from home (12th-least in the league).

Cade Cunningham

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.4
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.4

The matchup vs. the Jazz is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 15th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (26.5%). Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The Utah Jazz have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Utah is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year when the Utah Jazz are away from home (12th-least in the league).

Isaiah Stewart Points Scored Props • Detroit

I. Stewart
power forward PF • Detroit
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-114

Isaiah Stewart has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Jazz, branding this as a positive matchup. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.9 foul shots per game (28th-most in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, easily managing to get to the foul line. Isaiah Stewart will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Isaiah Stewart

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Isaiah Stewart has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Jazz, branding this as a positive matchup. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.9 foul shots per game (28th-most in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, easily managing to get to the foul line. Isaiah Stewart will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production in all facets of the game.

John Collins Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Collins
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, John Collins rates in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game this year. When it comes to scoring, the Jazz's unimpressive 106.9 points per game while on the road settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year. The showdown with Marvin Bagley III lands in the 17th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs sinking a mere 0.3 threes per game this year when they are playing on the road. John Collins will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

John Collins

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Among all players in the league, John Collins rates in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game this year. When it comes to scoring, the Jazz's unimpressive 106.9 points per game while on the road settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year. The showdown with Marvin Bagley III lands in the 17th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs sinking a mere 0.3 threes per game this year when they are playing on the road. John Collins will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

Collin Sexton Points Scored Props • Utah

C. Sexton
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

Collin Sexton has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's committed in all games this season. When it comes to scoring, the Jazz's unimpressive 106.9 points per game while on the road settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have shot 27.6% on 3-pointers (14th-worst in the league) against the Pistons, identifying this as a difficult matchup. Collin Sexton will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance across the board.

Collin Sexton

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

Collin Sexton has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's committed in all games this season. When it comes to scoring, the Jazz's unimpressive 106.9 points per game while on the road settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have shot 27.6% on 3-pointers (14th-worst in the league) against the Pistons, identifying this as a difficult matchup. Collin Sexton will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance across the board.

Kelly Olynyk Points Scored Props • Utah

K. Olynyk
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Kelly Olynyk has registered a lowly 7.2 points per game this year, quite a bit less than his 12.5 points per game last year. Kelly Olynyk has attempted a measly 1.8 treys per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.5 mark last year. Kelly Olynyk has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. When it comes to scoring, the Jazz's unimpressive 106.9 points per game while on the road settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Pistons is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0).

Kelly Olynyk

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Kelly Olynyk has registered a lowly 7.2 points per game this year, quite a bit less than his 12.5 points per game last year. Kelly Olynyk has attempted a measly 1.8 treys per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 3.5 mark last year. Kelly Olynyk has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. When it comes to scoring, the Jazz's unimpressive 106.9 points per game while on the road settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Pistons is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0).

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

When it comes to scoring, the Jazz's unimpressive 106.9 points per game while on the road settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Pistons is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0). Lauri Markkanen will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.2

When it comes to scoring, the Jazz's unimpressive 106.9 points per game while on the road settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Pistons is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0). Lauri Markkanen will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

Jaden Ivey Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Ivey
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jaden Ivey has attempted 13.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.0 three attempts per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, branding this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Jaden Ivey has attempted 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. The matchup against the Utah Jazz may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 2.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games (22nd-most in the NBA).

Jaden Ivey

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Jaden Ivey has attempted 13.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.0 three attempts per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, branding this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Jaden Ivey has attempted 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. The matchup against the Utah Jazz may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 2.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games (22nd-most in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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