Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
BSN, NBALP, Space City Home Network

Dallas @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Markieff Morris Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Morris
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 45.4% mark, Markieff Morris's scoring efficiency has decreased this season to 36.8%. Compared to last season's 39.7% rate, Markieff Morris's 3-point proficiency has regressed this season to 23.8%. Markieff Morris has played 13.0 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 20th percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the league. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year (the Rockets). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Markieff Morris

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

In comparison to last season's 45.4% mark, Markieff Morris's scoring efficiency has decreased this season to 36.8%. Compared to last season's 39.7% rate, Markieff Morris's 3-point proficiency has regressed this season to 23.8%. Markieff Morris has played 13.0 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 20th percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the league. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year (the Rockets). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaden Hardy Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Hardy
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Jaden Hardy has been on the court for 13.2 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league: 20th percentile. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 12.8 points per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year (the Rockets). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 84.0% clip, Jaden Hardy's free-throw effectiveness has regressed this year to 55.2%.

Jaden Hardy

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Jaden Hardy has been on the court for 13.2 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league: 20th percentile. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 12.8 points per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA this year (the Rockets). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 84.0% clip, Jaden Hardy's free-throw effectiveness has regressed this year to 55.2%.

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jeff Green has successfully made 72.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 21.2% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year. The Houston Rockets will likely see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 4th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks). Jeff Green has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 22.2% higher than he's converted overall this season with the home court advantage. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a tough one for drawing fouls; their opposition has attempted a measly 19.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Jeff Green

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Jeff Green has successfully made 72.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 21.2% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year. The Houston Rockets will likely see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 4th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks). Jeff Green has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 22.2% higher than he's converted overall this season with the home court advantage. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a tough one for drawing fouls; their opposition has attempted a measly 19.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA while on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 7thworst in in the league as the home team with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have grabbed 11.8 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense). Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA while on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 7thworst in in the league as the home team with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have grabbed 11.8 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense). Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-108

Dillon Brooks has converted 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. Dillon Brooks has averaged 30.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year. The Houston Rockets will likely see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 4th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks). Dillon Brooks has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.0% more than he's put through the net in all games this year with the home court advantage.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Dillon Brooks has converted 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. Dillon Brooks has averaged 30.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year. The Houston Rockets will likely see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 4th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks). Dillon Brooks has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.0% more than he's put through the net in all games this year with the home court advantage.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Grant Williams has made a terrific 2.1 3-pointers per game this year, significantly more than his 1.4 rate last year. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 119.0 points per game ranks 6th-most in the league this year. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have grabbed 9.5 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense). Grant Williams has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 37.9% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Grant Williams

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Grant Williams has made a terrific 2.1 3-pointers per game this year, significantly more than his 1.4 rate last year. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 119.0 points per game ranks 6th-most in the league this year. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have grabbed 9.5 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense). Grant Williams has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 37.9% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Under
+100

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA while on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 7thworst in in the league as the home team with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have grabbed 11.8 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense). Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Jalen Green

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA while on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 7thworst in in the league as the home team with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have grabbed 11.8 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense). Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 63.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 11.9% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season while at home. Jabari Smith Jr. has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.2 more than he's played in all games this season at home. The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a positive matchup. The Houston Rockets will likely see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 4th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 63.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 11.9% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season while at home. Jabari Smith Jr. has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.2 more than he's played in all games this season at home. The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a positive matchup. The Houston Rockets will likely see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 4th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 50.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Derrick Jones Jr. has played 29.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's played in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick Jones Jr. measures in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a mere 1.2 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 119.0 points per game ranks 6th-most in the league this year. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 50.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Derrick Jones Jr. has played 29.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's played in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick Jones Jr. measures in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a mere 1.2 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 119.0 points per game ranks 6th-most in the league this year. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 9.3 3-point shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 7.8 mark last season. Tim Hardaway Jr. has accumulated 1.2 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 119.0 points per game ranks 6th-most in the league this year. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have grabbed 9.5 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.9
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.9

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 9.3 3-point shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 7.8 mark last season. Tim Hardaway Jr. has accumulated 1.2 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 119.0 points per game ranks 6th-most in the league this year. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have grabbed 9.5 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Dwight Powell Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Powell
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+100

Dwight Powell has successfully made 64.8% of his shots from the field away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. In comparison to last year's 0.0% rate, Dwight Powell's three-point efficiency has surged this year to 100.0%. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 119.0 points per game ranks 6th-most in the league this year. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have grabbed 9.5 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Dwight Powell

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Dwight Powell has successfully made 64.8% of his shots from the field away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. In comparison to last year's 0.0% rate, Dwight Powell's three-point efficiency has surged this year to 100.0%. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 119.0 points per game ranks 6th-most in the league this year. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have grabbed 9.5 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-118

In contrast to last season's 5.9 clip, Alperen Sengun's shots from the field hit have surged this season to 8.0 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 31.2 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year. The number of points registered against Markieff Morris has been very high (17.0 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Houston Rockets will likely see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 4th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

In contrast to last season's 5.9 clip, Alperen Sengun's shots from the field hit have surged this season to 8.0 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 31.2 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year. The number of points registered against Markieff Morris has been very high (17.0 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Houston Rockets will likely see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 4th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

Jae'Sean Tate Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Tate
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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