Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
San Antonio 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE22-60
Portland 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
BSN, NBALP, ROOT Sports

San Antonio @ Portland props

Moda Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Moses Brown Points Scored Props • Portland

M. Brown
center C • Portland
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Moses Brown rates in the 17th percentile for playing time, putting up only 7.3 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season. The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point shots; their opposition has averaged the most threes per game in the NBA this year (14.5). The 8th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers. Moses Brown has made 41.4% of his foul shots since the start of last season, ranking in the 2nd percentile among all players in the league.

Moses Brown

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

Out of all players in the league, Moses Brown rates in the 17th percentile for playing time, putting up only 7.3 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season. The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point shots; their opposition has averaged the most threes per game in the NBA this year (14.5). The 8th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers. Moses Brown has made 41.4% of his foul shots since the start of last season, ranking in the 2nd percentile among all players in the league.

Malcolm Brogdon Points Scored Props • Portland

M. Brogdon
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 10.8 clip, Malcolm Brogdon's shots taken have risen this season to 13.1 per game. The matchup against San Antonio is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the San Antonio Spurs are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (48.4%). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has snagged 9.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense).

Malcolm Brogdon

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Compared to last season's 10.8 clip, Malcolm Brogdon's shots taken have risen this season to 13.1 per game. The matchup against San Antonio is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the San Antonio Spurs are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (48.4%). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has snagged 9.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense).

Jerami Grant Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Grant
small forward SF • Portland
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
25
Best Odds
Over
-127

Out of all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant lands in the 90th percentile for 3-point shots hit, compiling 2.5 per game this year. Jerami Grant has tallied 34.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has snagged 9.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense).

Jerami Grant

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25

Out of all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant lands in the 90th percentile for 3-point shots hit, compiling 2.5 per game this year. Jerami Grant has tallied 34.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has snagged 9.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense).

Anfernee Simons Points Scored Props • Portland

A. Simons
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.8
Best Odds
Under
-107
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.8
Best Odds
Under
-107
Projection Rating

Anfernee Simons has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (85th percentile). The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 8th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.

Anfernee Simons

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.8
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.8

Anfernee Simons has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (85th percentile). The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 8th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.

Keldon Johnson Points Scored Props • San Antonio

K. Johnson
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

Keldon Johnson has sunk just 6.4 field goals per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 8.0 rate last year. Keldon Johnson has failed to convert 3.4 three-point attempts per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 83rd percentile for misses on the road. This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have shot 50.6% on shots from the field (2nd-highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, resulting in a positive matchup. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the league on their home court this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Spurs. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4thworst in in the NBA while on the road with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Keldon Johnson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Keldon Johnson has sunk just 6.4 field goals per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 8.0 rate last year. Keldon Johnson has failed to convert 3.4 three-point attempts per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 83rd percentile for misses on the road. This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have shot 50.6% on shots from the field (2nd-highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, resulting in a positive matchup. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the league on their home court this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Spurs. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4thworst in in the NBA while on the road with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Matisse Thybulle Points Scored Props • Portland

M. Thybulle
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Matisse Thybulle has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-whistled players in the league (20th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has snagged 9.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense). Matisse Thybulle has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 30.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Matisse Thybulle

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Matisse Thybulle has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-whistled players in the league (20th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has snagged 9.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense). Matisse Thybulle has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 30.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama places in the 86th percentile for shots when playing away from home, registering 14.6 per game this year. The Spurs have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against Moses Brown is a strong one for scoring; when Brown is playing at home fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have converted a colossal 74.3% of their shot attempts from the field (100th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. While playing at home, the Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Among all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama places in the 86th percentile for shots when playing away from home, registering 14.6 per game this year. The Spurs have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against Moses Brown is a strong one for scoring; when Brown is playing at home fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have converted a colossal 74.3% of their shot attempts from the field (100th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. While playing at home, the Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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