Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
NBCSCA, BSN, NBALP

Sacramento @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Kings. The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Kings. The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-135

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup against Atlanta is a positive one for field goal attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 22nd-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.6). The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Kings. The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. The matchup vs. Atlanta may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court (28th-most in the league).

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup against Atlanta is a positive one for field goal attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 22nd-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.6). The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Kings. The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. The matchup vs. Atlanta may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court (28th-most in the league).

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.5
Best Odds
Under
-107

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Hawks have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 20 games (13th-least in the league). De'Aaron Fox should suffer a reduction in performance across the board due to playing away from home in this game.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.5
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.5

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Hawks have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 20 games (13th-least in the league). De'Aaron Fox should suffer a reduction in performance across the board due to playing away from home in this game.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-112

Domantas Sabonis has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (96th percentile). The number of 3-point shots attempted against Clint Capela has been quite low (0.8 per game) when playing at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Hawks have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Domantas Sabonis has successfully made just 63.6% of his foul shots this year, a sizeable decrease from his 73.9 rate last year.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Domantas Sabonis has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (96th percentile). The number of 3-point shots attempted against Clint Capela has been quite low (0.8 per game) when playing at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Hawks have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Domantas Sabonis has successfully made just 63.6% of his foul shots this year, a sizeable decrease from his 73.9 rate last year.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Under
+110

Dejounte Murray has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this year at home.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

Dejounte Murray has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this year at home.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic places in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year. This matchup is a favorable one for threes; opposing squads have compiled the 10th-highest three percentage in the league this year (37.5%). Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the other team has attempted 26.0 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Out of all players in the league, Bogdan Bogdanovic places in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year. This matchup is a favorable one for threes; opposing squads have compiled the 10th-highest three percentage in the league this year (37.5%). Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the other team has attempted 26.0 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
30
Best Odds
Over
-120

Trae Young has converted 10.1 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Trae Young has attempted 10.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Trae Young registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 36.3 minutes per game this year. The 5th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Trae Young

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30

Trae Young has converted 10.1 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Trae Young has attempted 10.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Trae Young registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 36.3 minutes per game this year. The 5th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has successfully made a terrific 2.5 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.9 rate last season. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Kings. The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. Among all players in the NBA, Malik Monk ranks in the 88th percentile for foul-shot performance with a a stellar 90.2% rate this year.

Malik Monk

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Malik Monk has successfully made a terrific 2.5 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.9 rate last season. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Kings. The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. Among all players in the NBA, Malik Monk ranks in the 88th percentile for foul-shot performance with a a stellar 90.2% rate this year.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-110

Clint Capela has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season. This matchup is a positive one for field goals; the other team has compiled the 7th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (49.1%). The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a difficult one; he has given up a lowly 11.2 points per game when playing on the road when facing opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when Sabonis is on the road and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.3 free throws per game (10th percentile).

Clint Capela

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Clint Capela has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season. This matchup is a positive one for field goals; the other team has compiled the 7th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (49.1%). The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a difficult one; he has given up a lowly 11.2 points per game when playing on the road when facing opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when Sabonis is on the road and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.3 free throws per game (10th percentile).

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

Harrison Barnes has successfully made 1.7 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. Harrison Barnes has tallied 31.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for three-point shots; when the Hawks are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (60.1%). The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Kings.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Harrison Barnes has successfully made 1.7 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. Harrison Barnes has tallied 31.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for three-point shots; when the Hawks are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (60.1%). The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Kings.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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