Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Philadelphia 7th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
NBCSP, SPECSN, NBALP

Philadelphia @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tobias Harris Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Harris
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-105

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a hard matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the 76ers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Tobias Harris figures to see a decline in output across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Tobias Harris

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a hard matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the 76ers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Tobias Harris figures to see a decline in output across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

As it relates to offense, the Rockets's lackluster 112.2 points per game playing at home comes in as the 5th-lowest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Jeff Green

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

As it relates to offense, the Rockets's lackluster 112.2 points per game playing at home comes in as the 5th-lowest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

De'Anthony Melton Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

D. Melton
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (81st percentile). The matchup against Houston is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Houston Rockets are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have shot for the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (24.8%). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the 76ers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. De'Anthony Melton ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

De'Anthony Melton

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

De'Anthony Melton has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (81st percentile). The matchup against Houston is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Houston Rockets are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have shot for the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (24.8%). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the 76ers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. De'Anthony Melton ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Oubre Jr.
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Oubre Jr. registers in the 79th percentile for field goal performance while playing away from home with a a remarkable 52.1% rate this year. The 76ers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 76ers have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should raise plays for the Philadelphia 76ers. At home, the Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Oubre Jr. registers in the 79th percentile for field goal performance while playing away from home with a a remarkable 52.1% rate this year. The 76ers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 76ers have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should raise plays for the Philadelphia 76ers. At home, the Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

Tari Eason has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for in all games this year. As it relates to offense, the Rockets's lackluster 112.2 points per game playing at home comes in as the 5th-lowest in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have attempted 25.1 foul shots per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Tari Eason

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Tari Eason has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for in all games this year. As it relates to offense, the Rockets's lackluster 112.2 points per game playing at home comes in as the 5th-lowest in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have attempted 25.1 foul shots per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Fred VanVleet has attempted 14.1 shots from the field per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet slots into the 93rd percentile for 3-point attempts on his home court, logging 7.3 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 36.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against Philadelphia is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Philadelphia 76ers are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have shot for the 24th-highest three percentage in the league this year (39.9%). The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Fred VanVleet has attempted 14.1 shots from the field per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet slots into the 93rd percentile for 3-point attempts on his home court, logging 7.3 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 36.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against Philadelphia is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Philadelphia 76ers are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have shot for the 24th-highest three percentage in the league this year (39.9%). The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.

Patrick Beverley Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

P. Beverley
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The 76ers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 76ers have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should raise plays for the Philadelphia 76ers. At home, the Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Patrick Beverley has made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.8% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Patrick Beverley

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.6

The 76ers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 76ers have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should raise plays for the Philadelphia 76ers. At home, the Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Patrick Beverley has made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.8% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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