Oklahoma City @ Denver props

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 9.8 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots scored have dropped this season to 7.5 per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance across the board.

Reggie Jackson has converted 52.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.2% more than he's made overall this season with the home court advantage. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have totaled 38.8 shots made from the field per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a challenging matchup. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 23.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 2.8 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. Michael Porter Jr. has played 30.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 29.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing at home.

Luguentz Dort has made 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. The Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The Thunder have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Nikola Jokic has made 52.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's made overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 33.6 minutes per game this year. This year, their opposition has shot 44.7% on field goals (weakest in the league) vs. the Thunder, creating a tough matchup. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope slots into the 89th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a a great 43.0% rate this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 32.2 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope registers in the 86th percentile for foul-shot efficiency while on his home court with a a very good 93.3% rate this year.

Jamal Murray has sunk 9.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Jamal Murray has converted 50.0% of his 3-point attempts while at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Thunder, resulting in a positive matchup. The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).