Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Toronto 12th EASTERN CONFERENCE25-57
Detroit 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-68
TSN, BSN, NBALP

Toronto @ Detroit props

Little Caesars Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Chris Boucher Points Scored Props • Toronto

C. Boucher
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 3.4 rate, Chris Boucher's shots from the field hit have diminished this year to 2.1 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Chris Boucher ranks in the 22nd percentile for playing time, registering only 13.8 minutes per game this year. Chris Boucher has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals. The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games, opposing squads have shot 38.8% on threes (6th-best in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, branding this as a good matchup.

Chris Boucher

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Relative to last year's 3.4 rate, Chris Boucher's shots from the field hit have diminished this year to 2.1 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Chris Boucher ranks in the 22nd percentile for playing time, registering only 13.8 minutes per game this year. Chris Boucher has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals. The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games, opposing squads have shot 38.8% on threes (6th-best in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, branding this as a good matchup.

Kevin Knox II Points Scored Props • Detroit

K. Knox II
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Knox II registers in the 23rd percentile for shots from the field while at home, tallying 3.6 per game this year. The Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Raptors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (13th-least in the league).

Kevin Knox II

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Knox II registers in the 23rd percentile for shots from the field while at home, tallying 3.6 per game this year. The Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Raptors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Detroit Pistons. The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (13th-least in the league).

O.G. Anunoby Points Scored Props • Toronto

O. Anunoby
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

O.G. Anunoby has successfully made 56.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, O.G. Anunoby measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.4 minutes per game this year. Over the last 16 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have put up 19.5 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from facing the 6th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

O.G. Anunoby

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

O.G. Anunoby has successfully made 56.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, O.G. Anunoby measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.4 minutes per game this year. Over the last 16 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have put up 19.5 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from facing the 6th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Alec Burks has scored a measly 9.3 points per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 12.8 points per game last year. Alec Burks has made just 30.4% of his field goal attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 43.2 rate last year. The Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have averaged 39.6% on threes (2nd-best in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, branding this as a good matchup. The Raptors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Detroit Pistons.

Alec Burks

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Alec Burks has scored a measly 9.3 points per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 12.8 points per game last year. Alec Burks has made just 30.4% of his field goal attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 43.2 rate last year. The Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have averaged 39.6% on threes (2nd-best in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, branding this as a good matchup. The Raptors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Detroit Pistons.

Gary Trent Jr. Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Trent Jr.
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Pistons is a difficult one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the 14th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (27.6%). The Raptors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. Gary Trent Jr. has successfully made 60.3% of his foul shot attempts this year, placing him in the 12th percentile among all players in the NBA. Gary Trent Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance across the board.

Gary Trent Jr.

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Pistons is a difficult one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the 14th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (27.6%). The Raptors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. Gary Trent Jr. has successfully made 60.3% of his foul shot attempts this year, placing him in the 12th percentile among all players in the NBA. Gary Trent Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance across the board.

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Detroit

B. Bogdanovic
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Bojan Bogdanovic comes in at the 87th percentile, putting up a monstrous 19.7 points per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Bojan Bogdanovic places in the 94th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, putting up 7.4 per game this year. Bojan Bogdanovic has averaged 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup vs. Toronto is a positive one; when the Toronto Raptors are away from home, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (23.9). The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Bojan Bogdanovic

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Out of all players in the league, Bojan Bogdanovic comes in at the 87th percentile, putting up a monstrous 19.7 points per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Bojan Bogdanovic places in the 94th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, putting up 7.4 per game this year. Bojan Bogdanovic has averaged 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup vs. Toronto is a positive one; when the Toronto Raptors are away from home, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (23.9). The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Jakob Poeltl Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Poeltl
center C • Toronto
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jakob Poeltl has made 67.5% of his shots from the field while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from facing the 6th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense). Jakob Poeltl has attempted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Jakob Poeltl

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Jakob Poeltl has made 67.5% of his shots from the field while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from facing the 6th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense). Jakob Poeltl has attempted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Dennis Schroder Points Scored Props • Toronto

D. Schroder
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Dennis Schroder has attempted 11.8 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 9.2 mark last season. Relative to last season's 3.2 rate, Dennis Schroder's shot attempts from downtown have risen this season to 4.5 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Schroder lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.4 minutes per game away from home this year. In comparison to last season's 0.1 mark, Dennis Schroder's technical fouls have diminished this season to 0.0 per game. This year, opposing starting PGs have notched 21.2 points per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Pistons, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive performance.

Dennis Schroder

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Dennis Schroder has attempted 11.8 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 9.2 mark last season. Relative to last season's 3.2 rate, Dennis Schroder's shot attempts from downtown have risen this season to 4.5 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Dennis Schroder lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.4 minutes per game away from home this year. In comparison to last season's 0.1 mark, Dennis Schroder's technical fouls have diminished this season to 0.0 per game. This year, opposing starting PGs have notched 21.2 points per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Pistons, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive performance.

Jalen McDaniels Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jalen McDaniels has converted 65.7% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 18.4% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while playing away from home. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from facing the 6th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).

Jalen McDaniels

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Jalen McDaniels has converted 65.7% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 18.4% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while playing away from home. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from facing the 6th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Toronto

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Pascal Siakam has successfully made 9.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net overall this year when playing away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.8 minutes per game this year. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from facing the 6th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

Pascal Siakam has successfully made 9.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net overall this year when playing away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.8 minutes per game this year. The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a spike in possessions today from facing the 6th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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