Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Utah 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE31-51
NBATV Canada, BSN, KJZZ

Dallas @ Utah props

Delta Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Grant Williams has converted 1.9 3-pointers per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league away from their home court this year.

Grant Williams

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Grant Williams has converted 1.9 3-pointers per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league away from their home court this year.

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Dante Exum has made 55.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 13.9% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Dante Exum has played 31.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 11.2 more than he's played in all games this year. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Utah Jazz is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.4). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league away from their home court this year.

Dante Exum

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Dante Exum has made 55.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 13.9% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Dante Exum has played 31.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 11.2 more than he's played in all games this year. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Utah Jazz is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.4). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league away from their home court this year.

Collin Sexton Points Scored Props • Utah

C. Sexton
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Under
-105

With respect to offense, the Jazz's unimpressive 45.9% field goal rate ranks 4th-fewest in the league over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Collin Sexton

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

With respect to offense, the Jazz's unimpressive 45.9% field goal rate ranks 4th-fewest in the league over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
33.5 Points Scored
Projection
32.2
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 1.1 threes per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, creating a hard matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have nabbed 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Jazz (preserving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense). Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 8.5 foul shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 10.5 mark last season. Luka Doncic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production across the board.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.2
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.2

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 1.1 threes per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, creating a hard matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have nabbed 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Jazz (preserving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense). Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 8.5 foul shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 10.5 mark last season. Luka Doncic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production across the board.

Simone Fontecchio Points Scored Props • Utah

S. Fontecchio
small forward SF • Utah
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Simone Fontecchio has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.3 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home. With respect to offense, the Jazz's unimpressive 45.9% field goal rate ranks 4th-fewest in the league over the last 25 games. Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have notched 11.4 points per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive performance. The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the foul line.

Simone Fontecchio

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Simone Fontecchio has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.3 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home. With respect to offense, the Jazz's unimpressive 45.9% field goal rate ranks 4th-fewest in the league over the last 25 games. Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have notched 11.4 points per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive performance. The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to get to the foul line.

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • Utah

K. Dunn
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Kris Dunn has converted 69.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 12.3% higher than he's made overall this year when playing at home. Kris Dunn has successfully made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season while on his home court. The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 22nd-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should raise plays for the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Kris Dunn

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

Kris Dunn has converted 69.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 12.3% higher than he's made overall this year when playing at home. Kris Dunn has successfully made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season while on his home court. The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 22nd-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should raise plays for the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 14.8 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 9.2 3-point shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 7.8 mark last year. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league away from their home court this year.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 14.8 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 9.2 3-point shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 7.8 mark last year. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league away from their home court this year.

John Collins Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Collins
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-148

The matchup with Dereck Lively II slots into only the 96th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs making a colossal 6.4 baskets per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should raise plays for the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game this year. John Collins has sunk 91.7% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 13.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. John Collins will likely get a boost in output for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

John Collins

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

The matchup with Dereck Lively II slots into only the 96th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs making a colossal 6.4 baskets per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should raise plays for the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game this year. John Collins has sunk 91.7% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 13.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. John Collins will likely get a boost in output for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Kelly Olynyk Points Scored Props • Utah

K. Olynyk
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
+106
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
+106
Projection Rating

Kelly Olynyk has sunk 5.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's converted over the course of the season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should raise plays for the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game this year. Kelly Olynyk has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.2% higher than he's made overall this year. Kelly Olynyk will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase stat production across the board.

Kelly Olynyk

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Kelly Olynyk has sunk 5.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's converted over the course of the season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should raise plays for the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game this year. Kelly Olynyk has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.2% higher than he's made overall this year. Kelly Olynyk will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase stat production across the board.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving rates in the 94th percentile for field goal attempts, logging 18.2 per game this year. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Utah is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Jazz are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.3). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league away from their home court this year. The matchup vs. Utah is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 4.2 foul shots per game this year when the Jazz are playing at home (27th-most in the NBA).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving rates in the 94th percentile for field goal attempts, logging 18.2 per game this year. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Utah is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Jazz are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.3). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league away from their home court this year. The matchup vs. Utah is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 4.2 foul shots per game this year when the Jazz are playing at home (27th-most in the NBA).

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-122

Lauri Markkanen has totaled 23.5 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 93rd percentile. Lauri Markkanen has attempted 9.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Lauri Markkanen places in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a good matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should raise plays for the Utah Jazz.

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Lauri Markkanen has totaled 23.5 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 93rd percentile. Lauri Markkanen has attempted 9.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Lauri Markkanen places in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a good matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should raise plays for the Utah Jazz.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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