Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Los Angeles 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-35
ESPN, Sportsnet

Miami @ Los Angeles props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson comes in at the 94th percentile for 3-pointers converted when playing on the road, posting 2.9 per game this year. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.9 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense). Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's converted overall this season.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson comes in at the 94th percentile for 3-pointers converted when playing on the road, posting 2.9 per game this year. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.9 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense). Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's converted overall this season.

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Davis
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-115

The showdown with Bam Adebayo places in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs registering only 10.5 points per game this year. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 7.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.3 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

Anthony Davis

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

The showdown with Bam Adebayo places in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs registering only 10.5 points per game this year. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 7.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.3 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-105

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have averaged 37.1% on shot attempts from the field (13th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a difficult matchup. The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. Tyler Herro ought to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have averaged 37.1% on shot attempts from the field (13th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a difficult matchup. The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. Tyler Herro ought to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

T. Prince
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Taurean Prince has made 3.2 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from three overall this season. In regard to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's impressive 122.6 points per game as the home team settles in as the 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a good matchup. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers. The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Taurean Prince

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Taurean Prince has made 3.2 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from three overall this season. In regard to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's impressive 122.6 points per game as the home team settles in as the 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a good matchup. The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers. The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Under
-104

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA). Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production across the board.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA). Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production across the board.

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Kevin Love has sunk 4.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's converted over the course of the season on the road. Kevin Love has attempted 4.9 3-point shots per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among all players in the league. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.9 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Kevin Love

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Kevin Love has sunk 4.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's converted over the course of the season on the road. Kevin Love has attempted 4.9 3-point shots per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among all players in the league. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.9 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds
Under
-125

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 12th percentile for 3-point ability with a a poor 20.0% rate this year. The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. The clash with Anthony Davis with respect to getting to the foul line slots into the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a mere 1.9 free throws per game this year when they are on the visiting team. Bam Adebayo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 12th percentile for 3-point ability with a a poor 20.0% rate this year. The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. The clash with Anthony Davis with respect to getting to the foul line slots into the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a mere 1.9 free throws per game this year when they are on the visiting team. Bam Adebayo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Vanderbilt
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Jarred Vanderbilt has made 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 33.3% more than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage. Jarred Vanderbilt has tallied 23.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's tallied overall this year. In regard to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's impressive 122.6 points per game as the home team settles in as the 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 29th-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%). The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.

Jarred Vanderbilt

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.5
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.5

Jarred Vanderbilt has made 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 33.3% more than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage. Jarred Vanderbilt has tallied 23.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's tallied overall this year. In regard to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's impressive 122.6 points per game as the home team settles in as the 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 29th-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%). The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
+106

Kyle Lowry has sunk 54.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 13.0% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when the Lakers are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 24th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (15.6). The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.9 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Kyle Lowry has sunk 54.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 13.0% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when the Lakers are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 24th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (15.6). The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.9 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Christian Wood Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

C. Wood
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Christian Wood has attempted a measly 2.4 treys per game this season, significantly lower than his 4.2 rate last season. In comparison to last year's 26.0 rate, Christian Wood's playing time has decreased this year to 19.0 minutes per game. Christian Wood has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.1 more than he's accumulated in all games this season at home. Over the last 5 games, the other team has totaled 40.4 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a favorable matchup. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Christian Wood

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Christian Wood has attempted a measly 2.4 treys per game this season, significantly lower than his 4.2 rate last season. In comparison to last year's 26.0 rate, Christian Wood's playing time has decreased this year to 19.0 minutes per game. Christian Wood has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.1 more than he's accumulated in all games this season at home. Over the last 5 games, the other team has totaled 40.4 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a favorable matchup. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Cam Reddish Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

C. Reddish
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 43.3% mark, Cam Reddish's field goal efficiency has fallen this season to 36.2%. Cam Reddish has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.0 higher than he's committed in all games this year at home. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 7.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Cam Reddish

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Compared to last season's 43.3% mark, Cam Reddish's field goal efficiency has fallen this season to 36.2%. Cam Reddish has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.0 higher than he's committed in all games this year at home. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 7.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.3
Best Odds
Under
-112

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 7.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

LeBron James

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.3

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 7.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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