Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
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Denver @ Golden State props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.1
Best Odds
Over
+130
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.1
Best Odds
Over
+130
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney has sunk 76.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 22.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season playing at home. This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have totaled 29.3 3-point attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevon Looney is expected to see an increase in production in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this contest.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.1
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.1

Kevon Looney has sunk 76.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 22.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season playing at home. This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have totaled 29.3 3-point attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevon Looney is expected to see an increase in production in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this contest.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Under
+105

Stephen Curry has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA while at home this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 4.5 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup. The 6th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.7
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.7

Stephen Curry has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA while at home this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 4.5 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup. The 6th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Under
+114

The Nuggets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. The most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Denver Nuggets. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have secured 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (lengthening possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense). Jamal Murray is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

The Nuggets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. The most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Denver Nuggets. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have secured 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (lengthening possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense). Jamal Murray is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (85th percentile). The Nuggets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. The most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Denver Nuggets. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have secured 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (lengthening possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.9
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.9

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (85th percentile). The Nuggets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. The most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Denver Nuggets. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have secured 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (lengthening possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Under
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 90th percentile for technical fouls, putting up an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year. The Nuggets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. The most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Denver Nuggets. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have secured 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (lengthening possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 90th percentile for technical fouls, putting up an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year. The Nuggets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. The most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Denver Nuggets. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have secured 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (lengthening possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

Dario Saric Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Saric
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

This year, their opposition has tallied 109.8 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive production. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Dario Saric has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.2% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Dario Saric ought to see a rise in output in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Dario Saric

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

This year, their opposition has tallied 109.8 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive production. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Dario Saric has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.2% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Dario Saric ought to see a rise in output in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has successfully made 4.2 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from three overall this year. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Klay Thompson has sunk 96.4% of his free throws when playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (21st-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line. Klay Thompson figures to get a boost in output in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Klay Thompson has successfully made 4.2 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from three overall this year. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Klay Thompson has sunk 96.4% of his free throws when playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (21st-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line. Klay Thompson figures to get a boost in output in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The Nuggets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. The most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Denver Nuggets. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have secured 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (lengthening possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense). Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

The Nuggets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. The most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Denver Nuggets. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have secured 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (lengthening possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense). Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 23rd percentile for field goal prowess away from home with a a feeble 38.5% rate this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's committed overall this season. The Nuggets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 38.4% on shots from the field (14th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 23rd percentile for field goal prowess away from home with a a feeble 38.5% rate this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's committed overall this season. The Nuggets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 38.4% on shots from the field (14th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Golden State

C. Paul
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-134

Chris Paul has successfully made 50.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 20.3% higher than he's made in all games this year. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.7 foul shots per game this year (28th-most in the NBA). Chris Paul ought to get a boost in productivity in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Chris Paul

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Chris Paul has successfully made 50.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 20.3% higher than he's made in all games this year. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.7 foul shots per game this year (28th-most in the NBA). Chris Paul ought to get a boost in productivity in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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