Toronto 12th EASTERN CONFERENCE25-57
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBALP, NBCSCA, Sportsnet

Toronto @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Under
-106

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 3.0 fouls per game while on his home court this year. Over the last 15 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have shot 50.1% on field goals (5th-best in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, making this a strong matchup. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. Domantas Sabonis has converted just 60.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 73.9 rate last year.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 3.0 fouls per game while on his home court this year. Over the last 15 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have shot 50.1% on field goals (5th-best in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, making this a strong matchup. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the home team. Domantas Sabonis has converted just 60.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 73.9 rate last year.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
+108

Harrison Barnes has successfully made 51.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 10.8% more than he's made over the course of the year at home. The matchup against Toronto is a strong one; when the Toronto Raptors are on the road, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (23.9). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 11thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. While playing on the road, the Toronto Raptors have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Harrison Barnes has successfully made 51.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 10.8% more than he's made over the course of the year at home. The matchup against Toronto is a strong one; when the Toronto Raptors are on the road, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (23.9). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 11thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. While playing on the road, the Toronto Raptors have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Toronto

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Under
-105

Pascal Siakam has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's committed overall this season. The Raptors check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Raptors. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, struggling to get to the charity stripe. Pascal Siakam will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

Pascal Siakam has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's committed overall this season. The Raptors check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Raptors. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, struggling to get to the charity stripe. Pascal Siakam will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

Jakob Poeltl Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Poeltl
center C • Toronto
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl rates in the 94th percentile for scoring prowess away from his home court with a an outstanding 63.9% rate this year. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jakob Poeltl has attempted 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Jakob Poeltl

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl rates in the 94th percentile for scoring prowess away from his home court with a an outstanding 63.9% rate this year. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jakob Poeltl has attempted 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Dennis Schroder Points Scored Props • Toronto

D. Schroder
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Dennis Schroder lands in the 80th percentile for field goal attempts, logging 11.9 per game this year. Dennis Schroder has played 31.6 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. Dennis Schroder has been called for just 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 0.1 technicals per game last year. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dennis Schroder

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Out of all players in the league, Dennis Schroder lands in the 80th percentile for field goal attempts, logging 11.9 per game this year. Dennis Schroder has played 31.6 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. Dennis Schroder has been called for just 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 0.1 technicals per game last year. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • Toronto

R. Barrett
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

RJ Barrett has attempted 14.7 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. RJ Barrett has tallied 29.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 75th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled 18.1 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Kings, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

RJ Barrett has attempted 14.7 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. RJ Barrett has tallied 29.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 75th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled 18.1 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Kings, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-106

Malik Monk has successfully made 6.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's sunk in all games this season. Malik Monk has sunk 2.7 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 11thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. While playing on the road, the Toronto Raptors have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Malik Monk has successfully made 6.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's sunk in all games this season. Malik Monk has sunk 2.7 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 11thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. While playing on the road, the Toronto Raptors have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Immanuel Quickley Points Scored Props • Toronto

I. Quickley
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

Immanuel Quickley has made 51.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this season without the home court advantage. Immanuel Quickley has made 2.2 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Immanuel Quickley

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Immanuel Quickley has made 51.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this season without the home court advantage. Immanuel Quickley has made 2.2 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Relative to last season's 18.7 rate, De'Aaron Fox's shots have spiked this season to 21.9 per game. In contrast to last season's 1.8 rate, De'Aaron Fox's 3-pointers drained have risen this season to 3.4 per game. Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.7 minutes per game this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 11thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.8
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.8

Relative to last season's 18.7 rate, De'Aaron Fox's shots have spiked this season to 21.9 per game. In contrast to last season's 1.8 rate, De'Aaron Fox's 3-pointers drained have risen this season to 3.4 per game. Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.7 minutes per game this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 11thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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