LIVE 06:27 1st Oct 5
GS 53 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 49 6.0 u221.5
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
Indiana 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
BSN, NBCSB

Boston @ Indiana props

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Under
-120

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The Celtics rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing away from home this year. The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a difficult one; he has allowed just 10.9 points per game when playing at home when facing other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have grabbed 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers (lengthening possessions that can produce further chances for offense). Kristaps Porzingis stands to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this game.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The Celtics rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing away from home this year. The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a difficult one; he has allowed just 10.9 points per game when playing at home when facing other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have grabbed 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers (lengthening possessions that can produce further chances for offense). Kristaps Porzingis stands to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this game.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Under
-104

The Celtics rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing away from home this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.9 3-point attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Pacers, making this a hard matchup. Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have grabbed 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers (lengthening possessions that can produce further chances for offense). Jaylen Brown will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.7
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.7

The Celtics rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing away from home this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.9 3-point attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Pacers, making this a hard matchup. Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have grabbed 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers (lengthening possessions that can produce further chances for offense). Jaylen Brown will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

Myles Turner has made 8.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's converted in all games this season with the home court advantage. The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing squads have averaged 44.8% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the league) vs. the Celtics, identifying this as a tough matchup. When squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Kristaps Porzingis has been in the 93rd percentile with a monstrous 2.2 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

Myles Turner

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Myles Turner has made 8.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's converted in all games this season with the home court advantage. The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing squads have averaged 44.8% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the league) vs. the Celtics, identifying this as a tough matchup. When squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Kristaps Porzingis has been in the 93rd percentile with a monstrous 2.2 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

Obi Toppin Points Scored Props • Indiana

O. Toppin
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Obi Toppin has successfully made an impressive 56.2% of his shots from the field this season, significantly more than his 42.0 rate last season. Obi Toppin has made 55.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 19.3% more than he's converted over the course of the season. The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing squads have averaged 44.8% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the league) vs. the Celtics, identifying this as a tough matchup. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

Obi Toppin

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Obi Toppin has successfully made an impressive 56.2% of his shots from the field this season, significantly more than his 42.0 rate last season. Obi Toppin has made 55.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 19.3% more than he's converted over the course of the season. The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing squads have averaged 44.8% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the league) vs. the Celtics, identifying this as a tough matchup. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Brown
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Bruce Brown has made a mere 21.7% of his 3-point shots this year, a significant dropoff from his 30.6 mark last year. Bruce Brown has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated overall this year. The matchup against Boston is a difficult one for field goals; when the Celtics are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 12th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (38.1%). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 5thworst in in the NBA at home with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Bruce Brown

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Bruce Brown has made a mere 21.7% of his 3-point shots this year, a significant dropoff from his 30.6 mark last year. Bruce Brown has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated overall this year. The matchup against Boston is a difficult one for field goals; when the Celtics are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 12th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (38.1%). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 5thworst in in the NBA at home with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Under
-114

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 5thworst in in the NBA at home with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 5thworst in in the NBA at home with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
-114

Derrick White has made 3.3 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.0 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up 19.0 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive performance. The Celtics have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers).

Derrick White

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Derrick White has made 3.3 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.0 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up 19.0 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive performance. The Celtics have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers).

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

Jrue Holiday has sunk 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing on the road. Jrue Holiday has averaged 34.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Celtics have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Jrue Holiday has sunk 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing on the road. Jrue Holiday has averaged 34.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Celtics have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Celtics rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing away from home this year. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.5). Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have grabbed 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers (lengthening possessions that can produce further chances for offense). Al Horford has sunk 50.0% of his foul shots while on the road this year, putting him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the league. Al Horford will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production across the board.

Al Horford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

The Celtics rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing away from home this year. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.5). Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have grabbed 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers (lengthening possessions that can produce further chances for offense). Al Horford has sunk 50.0% of his foul shots while on the road this year, putting him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the league. Al Horford will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production across the board.

Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nesmith
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 95th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a a very good 46.6% rate this year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Boston is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Celtics are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.7). The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Indiana Pacers will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 9th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 95th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a a very good 46.6% rate this year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Boston is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Celtics are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.7). The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Indiana Pacers will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 9th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
+106
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
+106
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have tallied the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.3). The Celtics have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Payton Pritchard has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have tallied the fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (28.3). The Celtics have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum rates in the 98th percentile, totaling a colossal 27.5 points per game this year. Jayson Tatum has made 4.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile. The Celtics have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.6
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.6

Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum rates in the 98th percentile, totaling a colossal 27.5 points per game this year. Jayson Tatum has made 4.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile. The Celtics have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers).

Jalen Smith Points Scored Props • Indiana

J. Smith
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-128

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Smith places in the 99th percentile for 3-point performance with a a remarkable 58.7% rate this year. Jalen Smith has attempted 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Indiana Pacers will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 9th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).

Jalen Smith

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Smith places in the 99th percentile for 3-point performance with a a remarkable 58.7% rate this year. Jalen Smith has attempted 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. The Indiana Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Indiana Pacers will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 9th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic