Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
San Antonio 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE22-60
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
TSN, TNT

San Antonio @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 68.4% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.3% more than he's made over the course of the season. Onyeka Okongwu has converted 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 26.8% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 68.4% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.3% more than he's made over the course of the season. Onyeka Okongwu has converted 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 26.8% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Julian Champagnie Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Champagnie
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Julian Champagnie comes in at the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a lowly 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 60.1% on threes (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, creating a positive matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Spurs.

Julian Champagnie

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Julian Champagnie comes in at the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a lowly 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 60.1% on threes (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, creating a positive matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Spurs.

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-117

Victor Wembanyama has missed 3.1 attempts from beyond the arc per game away from home this year, putting him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 80th percentile for misses on the road. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA away from their home court with just 9.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year, their opposition has captured 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Hawks (preserving possessions that can create further chances for offense). Victor Wembanyama stands to see a decline in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this matchup.

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Victor Wembanyama has missed 3.1 attempts from beyond the arc per game away from home this year, putting him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 80th percentile for misses on the road. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA away from their home court with just 9.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year, their opposition has captured 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Hawks (preserving possessions that can create further chances for offense). Victor Wembanyama stands to see a decline in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this matchup.

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
-127

The Hawks rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have put up 8.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness. The clash with Julian Champagnie in terms of drawing fouls ranks in the 10th percentile for difficulty with rival starting SFs attempting just 1.8 foul shots per game this year when they have the home court advantage.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

The Hawks rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have put up 8.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness. The clash with Julian Champagnie in terms of drawing fouls ranks in the 10th percentile for difficulty with rival starting SFs attempting just 1.8 foul shots per game this year when they have the home court advantage.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Jalen Johnson has converted a terrific 6.0 baskets per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.3 rate last year. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 31.5 minutes per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Jalen Johnson has converted a terrific 6.0 baskets per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.3 rate last year. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 31.5 minutes per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

The showdown with Victor Wembanyama rates in the 90th percentile with rival starting Cs nailing a massive 48.9% of their 3-point attempts this year when they have the home court advantage. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). When playing on the road, the Spurs have given up the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Clint Capela

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

The showdown with Victor Wembanyama rates in the 90th percentile with rival starting Cs nailing a massive 48.9% of their 3-point attempts this year when they have the home court advantage. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). When playing on the road, the Spurs have given up the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Keldon Johnson Points Scored Props • San Antonio

K. Johnson
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson registers in the 83rd percentile for shots taken when playing on the road, registering 12.7 per game this year. Keldon Johnson has successfully made 46.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 12.7% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Spurs.

Keldon Johnson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson registers in the 83rd percentile for shots taken when playing on the road, registering 12.7 per game this year. Keldon Johnson has successfully made 46.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 12.7% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Spurs.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Under
-110

The Hawks rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

The Hawks rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

Dominick Barlow Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Barlow
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Dominick Barlow has successfully made 57.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Spurs. Dominick Barlow has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year when playing away from home.

Dominick Barlow

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Dominick Barlow has successfully made 57.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Spurs. Dominick Barlow has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year when playing away from home.

Devin Vassell Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Vassell
shooting guard SG • San Antonio
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the league, Devin Vassell measures in the 85th percentile for shots from the field sunk away from home, averaging an enormous 6.3 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Devin Vassell registers in the 89th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing on the road, totaling 6.1 per game this year. Devin Vassell has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-whistled players in the NBA (22nd percentile). The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when the Hawks are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 22nd-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.6).

Devin Vassell

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Among all players in the league, Devin Vassell measures in the 85th percentile for shots from the field sunk away from home, averaging an enormous 6.3 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Devin Vassell registers in the 89th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing on the road, totaling 6.1 per game this year. Devin Vassell has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-whistled players in the NBA (22nd percentile). The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when the Hawks are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 22nd-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.6).

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Over
-108

Trae Young has put up 25.3 points per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard. Trae Young has attempted 9.2 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 6.5 rate last season. Trae Young has played 36.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on threes (30th-best in the NBA) against the Spurs, creating a good matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Trae Young

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.1
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.1

Trae Young has put up 25.3 points per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard. Trae Young has attempted 9.2 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 6.5 rate last season. Trae Young has played 36.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on threes (30th-best in the NBA) against the Spurs, creating a good matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Tre Jones Points Scored Props • San Antonio

T. Jones
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-102

Tre Jones has successfully made 64.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Tre Jones has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.6 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a positive matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Tre Jones

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Tre Jones has successfully made 64.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Tre Jones has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.6 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a positive matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 16.5 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Compared to last season's 6.6 rate, Bogdan Bogdanovic's 3-point attempts have jumped this season to 8.7 per game. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 16.5 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Compared to last season's 6.6 rate, Bogdan Bogdanovic's 3-point attempts have jumped this season to 8.7 per game. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jeremy Sochan Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Sochan
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jeremy Sochan has attempted 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts. The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks is a positive one for scoring; opposing starting PFs have posted the 28th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (54.1%). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Spurs.

Jeremy Sochan

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Jeremy Sochan has attempted 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts. The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks is a positive one for scoring; opposing starting PFs have posted the 28th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (54.1%). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Spurs.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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