LIVE Halftime Apr 27
BOS 53 -7.5 o199.0
ORL 48 7.5 u199.0
IND 4.0 o227.5
MIL -4.0 u227.5
Final Apr 27
NY 94 2.5 o216.0
DET 93 -2.5 u216.0
Final Apr 27
LAL 113 2.5 o209.0
MIN 116 -2.5 u209.0
Los Angeles 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Golden State 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-36
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Los Angeles @ Golden State picks

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LAL vs GS Picks

NBA Picks
Total Rebounds
B. Podziemski o4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 6.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +100 draftkings
Projection updated: 456 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -105
4.5 -125
4.5 -105
4.5 -130
4.5 -108
4.5 -127
4.5 +100
4.5 -130
4.5 -104
4.5 -118

Brandin Podziemski has posted 1.5 offensive boards per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch. Brandin Podziemski has played 28.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's played in all games this year. The Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Brandin Podziemski figures to see a spike in effectiveness across the board in light of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
K. Looney o4.5 Points Scored
Projection 5.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +115 bet365
Projection updated: 457 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 +115
4.5 -145
4.5 +115
4.5 -155
4.5 -109
4.5 -125

Kevon Looney has successfully made 79.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 15.4% more than he's made in all games this year. The faceoff with Anthony Davis places in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs scoring a massive 1.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year when they have the home court advantage. The Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevon Looney should see a spike in output in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Total Rebounds
J. Vanderbilt o4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 6.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -115 draftkings
Projection updated: 456 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -115
4.5 -115
4.5 -120
4.5 -115
4.5 -119
4.5 -115
4.5 -115
4.5 -115

Jarred Vanderbilt has posted 2.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.8 higher than he's posted overall this season on the road. The 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Points Scored
D. Green o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 10 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -130 bet365
Projection updated: 456 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -130
7.5 +100
7.5 -140
7.5 +105
8.5 -120
8.5 -112
7.5 -161
7.5 +116
7.5 -135
7.5 +105
8.5 -112
8.5 -108

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 5.6 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a positive matchup. The Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has converted 83.8% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 7.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Draymond Green will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Points Scored
D. Saric o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 +100 draftkings
Projection updated: 456 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -105
8.5 -125
8.5 +100
8.5 -130
8.5 -118
8.5 -118
8.5 +100
8.5 -130
8.5 -108
8.5 -112

Dario Saric has sunk 64.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 16.5% higher than he's converted overall this season. Dario Saric has sunk 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. The Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Lakers is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a mere 20.0 foul shots per game this year (3rd-least in the league).

Total Rebounds
D. Saric o3.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 -145 draftkings
Projection updated: 456 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -145
3.5 +115
3.5 -150
3.5 +115
3.5 -179
3.5 +129
3.5 -145
3.5 +114
4.5 +118
4.5 -144

Dario Saric has posted a whopping 5.6 rebounds per game this year, significantly more than his 3.6 rebounds per game last year. The Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Dario Saric will likely see a spike in performance in all facets of the game as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

3-Pointers Made
D. Green o0.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -115 draftkings
Projection updated: 456 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
0.5 -115
0.5 -115
0.5 -120
0.5 -115
0.5 -119
0.5 -115
0.5 -115
0.5 -115
0.5 -132
0.5 +106

The clash with Anthony Davis measures in the 100th percentile with rival starting Cs making a whopping 53.5% of their attempts from beyond the arc this year when they are at home. The Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Points Scored
K. Thompson o17.5 Points Scored
Projection 19.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o17.5 -106 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 456 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
19.5 -110
19.5 -120
17.5 -106
17.5 -125
19.5 -109
19.5 -125
19.5 -110
19.5 -120
18.5 -115
18.5 -105

Klay Thompson has attempted 16.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted overall this season. Klay Thompson has averaged 29.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Klay Thompson stands to see a rise in performance across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Total Rebounds
R. Hachimura o2.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 3.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -110 draftkings
Projection updated: 456 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -115
2.5 -115
2.5 -110
2.5 -120
2.5 -110
2.5 -120

The 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

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