Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
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Minnesota @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort measures in the 80th percentile for three-point shots scored, registering 1.9 per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have collected 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense). Luguentz Dort will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort measures in the 80th percentile for three-point shots scored, registering 1.9 per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have collected 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense). Luguentz Dort will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Under
-115

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams registers in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have put up 14.5 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive productivity. The Thunder have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.6

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams registers in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have put up 14.5 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive productivity. The Thunder have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-110

Josh Giddey has made 59.8% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 9.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while on his home court. Josh Giddey has sunk 42.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 15.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season playing at home. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have collected 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense). Josh Giddey will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player production for all stats.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Josh Giddey has made 59.8% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 9.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while on his home court. Josh Giddey has sunk 42.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 15.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season playing at home. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have collected 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense). Josh Giddey will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player production for all stats.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.9
Best Odds
Under
-105

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.5 fouls per game at home this year. The Thunder have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made a mere 8.0 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 9.8 mark last year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.9
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.9

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.5 fouls per game at home this year. The Thunder have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made a mere 8.0 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 9.8 mark last year.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.9
Best Odds
Under
-120

The matchup against the Thunder is a difficult one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 8th-lowest FG% in the league this year (46.3%). The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year, the other team has snagged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.9
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.9

The matchup against the Thunder is a difficult one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 8th-lowest FG% in the league this year (46.3%). The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year, the other team has snagged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
+112
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
+112
Projection Rating

Isaiah Joe has successfully made 77.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 26.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season playing at home. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have collected 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense). Isaiah Joe has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted just 20.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad (4th-least in the NBA).

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Isaiah Joe has successfully made 77.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 26.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season playing at home. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have collected 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense). Isaiah Joe has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted just 20.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad (4th-least in the NBA).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. This year, opposing squads have averaged 44.9% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a hard matchup.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. This year, opposing squads have averaged 44.9% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a hard matchup.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has tallied 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a positive matchup. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.2 free throws per game (30th-most in the league) against the Thunder, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has tallied 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a positive matchup. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.2 free throws per game (30th-most in the league) against the Thunder, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has successfully made 2.3 threes per game this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley ranks in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 29.2 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a positive matchup. Mike Conley has sunk a whopping 91.1% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly higher than his 82.8 rate last season.

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Mike Conley has successfully made 2.3 threes per game this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley ranks in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 29.2 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a positive matchup. Mike Conley has sunk a whopping 91.1% of his foul shot attempts this season, significantly higher than his 82.8 rate last season.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
+104

Jaden McDaniels has made 49.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 10.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 28.8 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 17.9% higher than he's made over the course of the year away from home. The matchup vs. Oklahoma may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Thunder have the home court advantage (24th-most in the league).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Jaden McDaniels has made 49.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 10.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 28.8 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 17.9% higher than he's made over the course of the year away from home. The matchup vs. Oklahoma may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Thunder have the home court advantage (24th-most in the league).

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-106

Chet Holmgren has converted 6.4 baskets per game this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Chet Holmgren has played 30.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have collected 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense). The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted just 20.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad (4th-least in the NBA).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Chet Holmgren has converted 6.4 baskets per game this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Chet Holmgren has played 30.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have collected 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense). The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted just 20.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad (4th-least in the NBA).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-120

Rudy Gobert has attempted 0.0 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league. The faceoff with Chet Holmgren ranks in the 7th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs draining a mere 0.3 three-point shots per game this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Rudy Gobert has attempted 0.0 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league. The faceoff with Chet Holmgren ranks in the 7th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs draining a mere 0.3 three-point shots per game this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has committed a mere 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 0.1 technicals per game last year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. This year, opposing squads have averaged 44.9% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a hard matchup.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.8

Kyle Anderson has committed a mere 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 0.1 technicals per game last year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. This year, opposing squads have averaged 44.9% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a hard matchup.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Over
-117

Anthony Edwards has attempted 23.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 3.6 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Anthony Edwards has tallied 34.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. This year, opposing starting SGs have shot 44.1% on three-pointers (29th-best in the league) against the Thunder, making this a positive matchup. Compared to last year's 4.1 rate, Anthony Edwards's foul shots sunk have jumped this year to 5.6 per game.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.7
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.7

Anthony Edwards has attempted 23.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 3.6 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Anthony Edwards has tallied 34.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court. This year, opposing starting SGs have shot 44.1% on three-pointers (29th-best in the league) against the Thunder, making this a positive matchup. Compared to last year's 4.1 rate, Anthony Edwards's foul shots sunk have jumped this year to 5.6 per game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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