Toronto 12th EASTERN CONFERENCE25-57
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
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Toronto @ Houston props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jakob Poeltl Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Poeltl
center C • Toronto
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 62.5% clip, Jakob Poeltl's shooting effectiveness has risen this season to 68.6%. Jakob Poeltl has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. This year, opposing teams have averaged 45.9% on shots from the field (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, creating a challenging matchup. The number of 3-pointers attempted against Alperen Sengun has been remarkably high (2.3 per game) when at home and matched up against other starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road.

Jakob Poeltl

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Relative to last season's 62.5% clip, Jakob Poeltl's shooting effectiveness has risen this season to 68.6%. Jakob Poeltl has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. This year, opposing teams have averaged 45.9% on shots from the field (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, creating a challenging matchup. The number of 3-pointers attempted against Alperen Sengun has been remarkably high (2.3 per game) when at home and matched up against other starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 36.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 12thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Fred VanVleet stands to see an increase in production in all facets of the game due to having the home court advantage in this contest.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 36.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 12thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Fred VanVleet stands to see an increase in production in all facets of the game due to having the home court advantage in this contest.

Scottie Barnes Points Scored Props • Toronto

S. Barnes
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-114

Scottie Barnes has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.2 more than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road. The Raptors check in as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on threes (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, creating a tough matchup. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team has come down with 12.2 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Rockets (saving possessions that can produce extra chances for offense). Scottie Barnes will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

Scottie Barnes

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Scottie Barnes has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.2 more than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road. The Raptors check in as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on threes (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, creating a tough matchup. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team has come down with 12.2 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Rockets (saving possessions that can produce extra chances for offense). Scottie Barnes will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Amen Thompson has made 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 31.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season. The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 12thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Amen Thompson has successfully made 94.4% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 13.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season at home.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Amen Thompson has made 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 31.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season. The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 12thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Amen Thompson has successfully made 94.4% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 13.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season at home.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

Dillon Brooks has attempted 13.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Dillon Brooks has sunk 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's made in all games this year at home. Dillon Brooks has played 30.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have logged 23.9 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Raptors, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Dillon Brooks has attempted 13.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Dillon Brooks has sunk 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's made in all games this year at home. Dillon Brooks has played 30.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have logged 23.9 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Raptors, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Toronto

B. Brown
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Bruce Brown has successfully made 48.3% of his treys over the last 10 games, 20.0% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Bruce Brown rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 29.3 minutes per game this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road. The Raptors will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Bruce Brown

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Bruce Brown has successfully made 48.3% of his treys over the last 10 games, 20.0% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Bruce Brown rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 29.3 minutes per game this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road. The Raptors will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-110

The Rockets rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games, the other team has collected 14.4 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Raptors (maintaining possessions that can create bonus chances for offense). The matchup against Jakob Poeltl is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.8 free throws per game (20th percentile).

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

The Rockets rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games, the other team has collected 14.4 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Raptors (maintaining possessions that can create bonus chances for offense). The matchup against Jakob Poeltl is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.8 free throws per game (20th percentile).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jalen Green has compiled 29.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.4 higher than he's compiled in all games this season. Jalen Green has attempted 9.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Jalen Green has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Jalen Green

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Jalen Green has compiled 29.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.4 higher than he's compiled in all games this season. Jalen Green has attempted 9.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Jalen Green has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Dennis Schroder Points Scored Props • Toronto

D. Schroder
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Dennis Schroder has attempted 11.1 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among all players in the league. Dennis Schroder has averaged 30.8 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Dennis Schroder has been called for a lowly 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 0.1 technicals per game last season. This matchup is a challenging one; when the Rockets are playing at home, they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (109.2). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road.

Dennis Schroder

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Dennis Schroder has attempted 11.1 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among all players in the league. Dennis Schroder has averaged 30.8 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Dennis Schroder has been called for a lowly 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 0.1 technicals per game last season. This matchup is a challenging one; when the Rockets are playing at home, they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (109.2). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road.

Immanuel Quickley Points Scored Props • Toronto

I. Quickley
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.6
Best Odds
Over
-106

Immanuel Quickley has successfully made 56.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 14.5% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year without the home court advantage. Immanuel Quickley has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's played in all games this season. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road. The Raptors will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Immanuel Quickley

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.6

Immanuel Quickley has successfully made 56.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 14.5% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year without the home court advantage. Immanuel Quickley has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's played in all games this season. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road. The Raptors will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Cam Whitmore Points Scored Props • Houston

C. Whitmore
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Cam Whitmore has put up 18.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's put up over the course of the year. Cam Whitmore has attempted 7.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Cam Whitmore has tallied 21.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Cam Whitmore

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Cam Whitmore has put up 18.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's put up over the course of the year. Cam Whitmore has attempted 7.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Cam Whitmore has tallied 21.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Rockets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has notched 13.4 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 76th percentile. Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 1.7 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. ranks in the 81st percentile for playing time, registering a massive 31.0 minutes per game while at home this year. The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.9). The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Jabari Smith Jr. has notched 13.4 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 76th percentile. Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 1.7 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. ranks in the 81st percentile for playing time, registering a massive 31.0 minutes per game while at home this year. The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.9). The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Gary Trent Jr. Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Trent Jr.
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-123
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-123
Projection Rating

Gary Trent Jr. has successfully made 49.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 8.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Gary Trent Jr. has successfully made 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from three in all games this season. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road. The Raptors will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Gary Trent Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Gary Trent Jr. has successfully made 49.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 8.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Gary Trent Jr. has successfully made 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from three in all games this season. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road. The Raptors will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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