NY -2.5 o215.5
CHA 2.5 u215.5
WAS -3.5 o220.5
TOR 3.5 u220.5
MIL 3.0 o217.0
DET -3.0 u217.0
PHO 2.5 o222.0
LAL -2.5 u222.0
Final Oct 6
DEN 104 2.5 o216.5
BOS 130 -2.5 u216.5
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
BSN, Space City Home Network

Houston @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Cam Whitmore Points Scored Props • Houston

C. Whitmore
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Under
-105

Cam Whitmore has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.1 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's subpar 111.6 points per game while playing away from home comes in as the 9th-lowest in the NBA this year. The Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). Cam Whitmore will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

Cam Whitmore

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Cam Whitmore has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.1 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's subpar 111.6 points per game while playing away from home comes in as the 9th-lowest in the NBA this year. The Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). Cam Whitmore will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. places in the 76th percentile for field goal attempts, totaling 10.5 per game this year. Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 31.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. places in the 76th percentile for field goal attempts, totaling 10.5 per game this year. Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 31.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 43.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 13 games at home, 13.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Over the last 5 games, their opposition has collected 6.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate additional opportunities for offense). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 33.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 43.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 13 games at home, 13.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Over the last 5 games, their opposition has collected 6.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate additional opportunities for offense). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 33.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Fred VanVleet has attempted 7.7 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Fred VanVleet has averaged 36.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile. The speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Fred VanVleet has attempted 7.7 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Fred VanVleet has averaged 36.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile. The speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jalen Green has averaged 26.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year. Jalen Green has attempted 8.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jalen Green has played 30.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 81st percentile. The speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Green

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Jalen Green has averaged 26.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year. Jalen Green has attempted 8.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jalen Green has played 30.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 81st percentile. The speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
+104

Dillon Brooks has posted 13.7 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 77th percentile. Dillon Brooks has converted 1.9 3-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. Dillon Brooks has averaged 31.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. The speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Dillon Brooks has posted 13.7 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 77th percentile. Dillon Brooks has converted 1.9 3-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. Dillon Brooks has averaged 31.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. The speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley slots into the 89th percentile for three-point performance while playing at home with a an exceptional 45.6% rate this year. Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games with the home court advantage, 5.0 more than he's played in all games this year at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Houston is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 22nd-highest FG% in the NBA this year (45.5%). The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley slots into the 89th percentile for three-point performance while playing at home with a an exceptional 45.6% rate this year. Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games with the home court advantage, 5.0 more than he's played in all games this year at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Houston is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 22nd-highest FG% in the NBA this year (45.5%). The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 64.9% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup with Alperen Sengun rates in only the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs making a massive 6.5 shots per game this year when they have the home court advantage. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Over the last 5 games, their opposition has collected 6.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate additional opportunities for offense).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 64.9% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup with Alperen Sengun rates in only the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs making a massive 6.5 shots per game this year when they have the home court advantage. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Over the last 5 games, their opposition has collected 6.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate additional opportunities for offense).

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Alperen Sengun has put up a whopping 21.7 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 14.8 points per game last year. Alperen Sengun has converted 52.7% of his shot attempts from the field when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. Alperen Sengun has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 87th percentile. The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Gobert is at home and facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 2.8 shots from downtown per game (97th percentile). The speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Alperen Sengun has put up a whopping 21.7 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 14.8 points per game last year. Alperen Sengun has converted 52.7% of his shot attempts from the field when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. Alperen Sengun has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 87th percentile. The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Gobert is at home and facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 2.8 shots from downtown per game (97th percentile). The speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has converted 40.4% of his treys this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Over the last 5 games, their opposition has collected 6.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate additional opportunities for offense). Naz Reid figures to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Naz Reid has converted 40.4% of his treys this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Over the last 5 games, their opposition has collected 6.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate additional opportunities for offense). Naz Reid figures to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Over
-102

Karl-Anthony Towns has totaled 26.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.7 more than he's totaled in all games this season. Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 32.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

Karl-Anthony Towns has totaled 26.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.7 more than he's totaled in all games this season. Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 32.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Amen Thompson has sunk 63.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 14.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing on the road. Amen Thompson has sunk 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 26.5% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season on the road. The speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Amen Thompson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

Amen Thompson has sunk 63.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 14.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing on the road. Amen Thompson has sunk 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 26.5% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season on the road. The speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Under
-108

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards rates in the 98th percentile for technical fouls, posting a colossal 0.2 fouls per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled 12.6 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 8.0 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, struggling to get to the foul line.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards rates in the 98th percentile for technical fouls, posting a colossal 0.2 fouls per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled 12.6 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 8.0 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, struggling to get to the foul line.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels registers in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.9 fouls per game while on his home court this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 8.0 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels registers in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.9 fouls per game while on his home court this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 8.0 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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