New York 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
MSG, Space City Home Network

New York @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • New York

B. Bogdanovic
small forward SF • New York
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Bojan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.3 threes per game this season, a significant increase from his 6.0 rate last season. Among all players in the NBA, Bojan Bogdanovic ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.0 minutes per game this year. The Knicks will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have snagged 8.5 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

Bojan Bogdanovic

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Bojan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.3 threes per game this season, a significant increase from his 6.0 rate last season. Among all players in the NBA, Bojan Bogdanovic ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.0 minutes per game this year. The Knicks will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have snagged 8.5 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • New York

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Under
+108
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Under
+108
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 43.2% mark, Alec Burks's shooting efficiency has regressed this season to 37.6%. As it relates to shooting, the New York Knicks's subpar 111.2 points per game places 9th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games. The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Knicks. Over the last 10 games, the other team has attempted 26.0 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line. Alec Burks is expected to see a decline in production across the board as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Alec Burks

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Compared to last season's 43.2% mark, Alec Burks's shooting efficiency has regressed this season to 37.6%. As it relates to shooting, the New York Knicks's subpar 111.2 points per game places 9th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games. The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Knicks. Over the last 10 games, the other team has attempted 26.0 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line. Alec Burks is expected to see a decline in production across the board as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
-108

Dillon Brooks has sunk 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while playing at home. Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 48.0% on threes (30th-best in the league) against the Knicks, creating a positive matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Knicks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (6.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Dillon Brooks has sunk 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while playing at home. Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 48.0% on threes (30th-best in the league) against the Knicks, creating a positive matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Knicks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (6.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jericho Sims Points Scored Props • New York

J. Sims
center C • New York
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Jericho Sims comes in at the 99th percentile for field goal prowess when playing away from home with a a superb 71.4% rate this year. Jericho Sims has averaged 0.9 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 15th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. When on his home court and squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Alperen Sengun ranks in the 90th percentile with a massive 2.2 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year. The Knicks will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Jericho Sims

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.5

Among all players in the NBA, Jericho Sims comes in at the 99th percentile for field goal prowess when playing away from home with a a superb 71.4% rate this year. Jericho Sims has averaged 0.9 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 15th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. When on his home court and squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Alperen Sengun ranks in the 90th percentile with a massive 2.2 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year. The Knicks will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Knicks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 9thworst in in the NBA while at home with only 9.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Knicks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 9thworst in in the NBA while at home with only 9.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Jalen Brunson Points Scored Props • New York

J. Brunson
point guard PG • New York
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.8
Best Odds
Under
-115

As it relates to shooting, the New York Knicks's subpar 111.2 points per game places 9th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Houston is a challenging one; when the Houston Rockets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8). The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Knicks. The matchup vs. Houston may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Houston Rockets are on their home court (15th-least in the league). Jalen Brunson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

Jalen Brunson

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.8
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.8

As it relates to shooting, the New York Knicks's subpar 111.2 points per game places 9th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Houston is a challenging one; when the Houston Rockets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8). The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Knicks. The matchup vs. Houston may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Houston Rockets are on their home court (15th-least in the league). Jalen Brunson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-125

Amen Thompson has made 60.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 12.7% more than he's made in all games this year. Amen Thompson has averaged 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.4 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Knicks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (6.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). In terms of drawing fouls, the Rockets's remarkable 23.3 foul shots per game places 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Amen Thompson has made 60.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 12.7% more than he's made in all games this year. Amen Thompson has averaged 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.4 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Knicks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (6.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). In terms of drawing fouls, the Rockets's remarkable 23.3 foul shots per game places 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games.

Precious Achiuwa Points Scored Props • New York

P. Achiuwa
power forward PF • New York
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-125

Precious Achiuwa has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's tallied overall this year. As it relates to shooting, the New York Knicks's subpar 111.2 points per game places 9th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Rockets is a challenging one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (21.7%). The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Knicks. Precious Achiuwa will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Precious Achiuwa

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Precious Achiuwa has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's tallied overall this year. As it relates to shooting, the New York Knicks's subpar 111.2 points per game places 9th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Rockets is a challenging one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (21.7%). The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Knicks. Precious Achiuwa will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Aaron Holiday Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Holiday
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Aaron Holiday has made 58.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 14.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Knicks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (6.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Holiday has successfully made 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's put through the net overall this season when playing at home. In terms of drawing fouls, the Rockets's remarkable 23.3 foul shots per game places 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games.

Aaron Holiday

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Aaron Holiday has made 58.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 14.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Knicks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (6.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Holiday has successfully made 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's put through the net overall this season when playing at home. In terms of drawing fouls, the Rockets's remarkable 23.3 foul shots per game places 8th-best in the league over the last 20 games.

Donte DiVincenzo Points Scored Props • New York

D. DiVincenzo
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-107

Donte DiVincenzo has attempted 21.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 11.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Donte DiVincenzo has attempted 12.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Donte DiVincenzo has played 40.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.3 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Knicks will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Donte DiVincenzo

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Donte DiVincenzo has attempted 21.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 11.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Donte DiVincenzo has attempted 12.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Donte DiVincenzo has played 40.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.3 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Knicks will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • New York

I. Hartenstein
center C • New York
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Isaiah Hartenstein registers in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.6 fouls per game away from home this year. As it relates to shooting, the New York Knicks's subpar 111.2 points per game places 9th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games. The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Knicks. Isaiah Hartenstein stands to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board due to playing away from home in this game.

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Among all players in the NBA, Isaiah Hartenstein registers in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.6 fouls per game away from home this year. As it relates to shooting, the New York Knicks's subpar 111.2 points per game places 9th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games. The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Knicks. Isaiah Hartenstein stands to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board due to playing away from home in this game.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Over
-122

Jalen Green has attempted 19.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Among all players in the league, Jalen Green measures in the 92nd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 6.6 per game this year. Jalen Green has tallied 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.9 more than he's tallied overall this season at home. The matchup against the Knicks is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.7%). The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games.

Jalen Green

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Jalen Green has attempted 19.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Among all players in the league, Jalen Green measures in the 92nd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 6.6 per game this year. Jalen Green has tallied 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.9 more than he's tallied overall this season at home. The matchup against the Knicks is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.7%). The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games.

Josh Hart Points Scored Props • New York

J. Hart
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-117

Josh Hart has played 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.8 more than he's played in all games this year. The Knicks will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have snagged 8.5 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense). Josh Hart has converted 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made in all games this season.

Josh Hart

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Josh Hart has played 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.8 more than he's played in all games this year. The Knicks will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have snagged 8.5 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense). Josh Hart has converted 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made in all games this season.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 75th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, totaling 4.5 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 30.7 minutes per game on his home court this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 47.7% on three-pointers (29th-highest in the league) against the Knicks, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Knicks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (6.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 75th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, totaling 4.5 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 30.7 minutes per game on his home court this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 47.7% on three-pointers (29th-highest in the league) against the Knicks, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Knicks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (6.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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