Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
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Denver @ Milwaukee props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has converted 45.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 14.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Peyton Watson has tallied 23.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rdbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Peyton Watson has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 36.5% more than he's made overall this season.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Peyton Watson has converted 45.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 14.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Peyton Watson has tallied 23.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rdbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Peyton Watson has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 36.5% more than he's made overall this season.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-125

Brook Lopez has converted 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Brook Lopez has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a positive one for field goals; when Jokic is away from his home court other starting Cs this year, they have converted a whopping 6.6 baskets per game (100th percentile). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Brook Lopez has converted 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Brook Lopez has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a positive one for field goals; when Jokic is away from his home court other starting Cs this year, they have converted a whopping 6.6 baskets per game (100th percentile). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-104

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 5.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 87th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.2 buckets per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, designating this as a positive matchup. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rdbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted 5.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 87th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.2 buckets per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, designating this as a positive matchup. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rdbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Pat Connaughton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

P. Connaughton
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for three-point shots; their opposition has averaged the 2nd-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (11.4). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage. Pat Connaughton will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Pat Connaughton

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.4

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for three-point shots; their opposition has averaged the 2nd-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (11.4). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage. Pat Connaughton will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rdbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Reggie Jackson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 18.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year while playing away from home.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rdbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Reggie Jackson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 18.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year while playing away from home.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-119
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-119
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 15.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 83rd percentile. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a positive one; they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rdbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 15.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 83rd percentile. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a positive one; they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rdbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-112

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon slots into the 78th percentile for scoring effectiveness while playing away from home with a an exceptional 51.7% rate this year. Aaron Gordon has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 84th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 three-pointers per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a good matchup. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rdbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon slots into the 78th percentile for scoring effectiveness while playing away from home with a an exceptional 51.7% rate this year. Aaron Gordon has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 84th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 three-pointers per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a good matchup. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rdbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-114

Malik Beasley has attempted 11.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Malik Beasley has attempted 9.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Malik Beasley has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 77th percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Malik Beasley has attempted 11.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Malik Beasley has attempted 9.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Malik Beasley has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 77th percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Under
+105

Relative to last year's 32.2 clip, Damian Lillard's points per game have tailed off this year to 25.0. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.5 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a hard matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.2

Relative to last year's 32.2 clip, Damian Lillard's points per game have tailed off this year to 25.0. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.5 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a hard matchup. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jae Crowder Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

J. Crowder
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+102

Jae Crowder has attempted 8.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jae Crowder has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage. The matchup against Denver is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Denver Nuggets are away from home (21st-most in the league).

Jae Crowder

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Jae Crowder has attempted 8.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jae Crowder has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage. The matchup against Denver is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Denver Nuggets are away from home (21st-most in the league).

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
+102
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
+102
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (84th percentile). The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 22.0 free throws per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Bobby Portis has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (84th percentile). The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 22.0 free throws per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jamal Murray has attempted 16.7 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Jamal Murray has played 31.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have put up 21.7 points per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.2
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.2

Jamal Murray has attempted 16.7 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Jamal Murray has played 31.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have put up 21.7 points per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has sunk 66.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 7.0% more than he's made over the course of the season while playing on the road. Nikola Jokic has made 62.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 15.3% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic places in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. When defending opposing starting Cs, Brook Lopez rates in the 100th percentile with a whopping 12.2 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.2
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.2

Nikola Jokic has sunk 66.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 7.0% more than he's made over the course of the season while playing on the road. Nikola Jokic has made 62.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 15.3% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic places in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. When defending opposing starting Cs, Brook Lopez rates in the 100th percentile with a whopping 12.2 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.6
Best Odds
Over
-118

Giannis Antetokounmpo has posted 30.8 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile. Giannis Antetokounmpo has made 50.0% of his treys over the last 5 games at home, 25.4% more than he's converted from three in all games this year at home. Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 34.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The matchup against Denver is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have posted the 26th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.8%).

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.6
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.6

Giannis Antetokounmpo has posted 30.8 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile. Giannis Antetokounmpo has made 50.0% of his treys over the last 5 games at home, 25.4% more than he's converted from three in all games this year at home. Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 34.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The matchup against Denver is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have posted the 26th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.8%).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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