Final Dec 17
MIL 97 5.0 o215.5
OKC 81 -5.0 u215.5
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Orlando 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
TNT

Oklahoma City @ Orlando props

Kia Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Moritz Wagner Points Scored Props • Orlando

M. Wagner
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Moritz Wagner rates in the 81st percentile for field goal prowess at home with a an impressive 53.8% rate this year. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing squads have shot for the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.4%). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Moritz Wagner has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Over the last 10 games, their opposition has attempted 19.0 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Thunder, making it tough to draw fouls.

Moritz Wagner

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Out of all players in the league, Moritz Wagner rates in the 81st percentile for field goal prowess at home with a an impressive 53.8% rate this year. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing squads have shot for the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.4%). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Moritz Wagner has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Over the last 10 games, their opposition has attempted 19.0 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Thunder, making it tough to draw fouls.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-110

With respect to shooting, the Thunder's stellar 123.2 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Orlando is a good one for threes; when the Magic are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have posted the 25th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (42.3%). At home, the Orlando Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Josh Giddey has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.6% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

With respect to shooting, the Thunder's stellar 123.2 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Orlando is a good one for threes; when the Magic are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have posted the 25th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (42.3%). At home, the Orlando Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Josh Giddey has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.6% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Cason Wallace has converted 43.5% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. With respect to shooting, the Thunder's stellar 123.2 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. At home, the Orlando Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Cason Wallace has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Cason Wallace

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.7

Cason Wallace has converted 43.5% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. With respect to shooting, the Thunder's stellar 123.2 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. At home, the Orlando Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Cason Wallace has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Scored Props • Orlando

W. Carter Jr.
center C • Orlando
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing squads have shot for the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.4%). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The showdown with Chet Holmgren as it relates to drawing fouls rates in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting a massive 4.9 foul shots per game this year when they are playing at home. Wendell Carter Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player performance across the board.

Wendell Carter Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing squads have shot for the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.4%). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The showdown with Chet Holmgren as it relates to drawing fouls rates in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting a massive 4.9 foul shots per game this year when they are playing at home. Wendell Carter Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player performance across the board.

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins has scored 10.7 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's scored in all games this season. Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 2.0 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. With respect to shooting, the Thunder's stellar 123.2 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. At home, the Orlando Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Aaron Wiggins has scored 10.7 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's scored in all games this season. Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 2.0 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. With respect to shooting, the Thunder's stellar 123.2 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. At home, the Orlando Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.8
Best Odds
Under
-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The 10th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year. Relative to last year's 9.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots converted have been reduced this year to 8.0 per game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.8
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.8

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The 10th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year. Relative to last year's 9.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots converted have been reduced this year to 8.0 per game.

Jonathan Isaac Points Scored Props • Orlando

J. Isaac
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Jonathan Isaac has sunk 55.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 10.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Jonathan Isaac has successfully made 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 26.5% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing squads have shot for the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.4%). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, their opposition has attempted 19.0 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Thunder, making it tough to draw fouls.

Jonathan Isaac

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Jonathan Isaac has sunk 55.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 10.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Jonathan Isaac has successfully made 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 26.5% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing squads have shot for the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.4%). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Over the last 10 games, their opposition has attempted 19.0 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Thunder, making it tough to draw fouls.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
+106

Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort registers in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year. The 10th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort registers in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year. The 10th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-105

Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams ranks in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year. The 10th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year. Jalen Williams stands to suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams ranks in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year. The 10th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year. Jalen Williams stands to suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jalen Suggs Points Scored Props • Orlando

J. Suggs
shooting guard SG • Orlando
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jalen Suggs has made 2.1 three-pointers per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Jalen Suggs should see a spike in effectiveness across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Jalen Suggs

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Jalen Suggs has made 2.1 three-pointers per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Jalen Suggs should see a spike in effectiveness across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Markelle Fultz Points Scored Props • Orlando

M. Fultz
point guard PG • Orlando
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-141

This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.2 foul shots per game this year (30th-most in the league). Markelle Fultz ought to see a rise in production for all stats in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Markelle Fultz

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.2 foul shots per game this year (30th-most in the league). Markelle Fultz ought to see a rise in production for all stats in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Paolo Banchero Points Scored Props • Orlando

P. Banchero
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Paolo Banchero has attempted 16.5 field goals per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Paolo Banchero has averaged 34.6 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.8 free throws per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Paolo Banchero

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Paolo Banchero has attempted 16.5 field goals per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Paolo Banchero has averaged 34.6 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.8 free throws per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-118

Chet Holmgren has converted 6.1 buckets per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 76th percentile for three-pointers sunk, tallying 1.7 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 78th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 29.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year. With respect to shooting, the Thunder's stellar 123.2 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Wendell Carter Jr. is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when Carter Jr. is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 13.7 field goals per game (100th percentile).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Chet Holmgren has converted 6.1 buckets per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 76th percentile for three-pointers sunk, tallying 1.7 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 78th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 29.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year. With respect to shooting, the Thunder's stellar 123.2 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Wendell Carter Jr. is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when Carter Jr. is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 13.7 field goals per game (100th percentile).

Franz Wagner Points Scored Props • Orlando

F. Wagner
small forward SF • Orlando
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Franz Wagner has posted 28.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's posted over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 32.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Franz Wagner has sunk 91.3% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 8.1% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Franz Wagner will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts player performance across the board.

Franz Wagner

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Franz Wagner has posted 28.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's posted over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 32.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Franz Wagner has sunk 91.3% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 8.1% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Franz Wagner will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts player performance across the board.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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