Utah @ Miami picks

Compared to last season's 6.1 mark, Duncan Robinson's shots taken have risen this season to 10.1 per game. Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a big improvement over his 4.7 mark last season. Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.0 three attempts per game (23rd-most in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz, making this a strong matchup.

Kris Dunn has posted 5.1 assists per game over the last 15 games while playing away from home, 0.8 more than he's posted overall this year on the road. Kris Dunn has played 25.4 minutes per game over the last 11 games while on the road, 5.9 more than he's played in all games this year on the road. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has collected 8.8 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

Taylor Hendricks has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's been called for in all games this season. The Utah Jazz check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the league this year (the Heat). The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (14th-least in the league). Taylor Hendricks will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 11th percentile for three-point attempts, averaging 0.2 per game this year. The matchup vs. John Collins is a tough one for three-point shots; when Collins is on the visiting team and facing other starting Cs this year, they have made a lowly 24.0% of their three-point shots (17th percentile). The 3rd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have brought down 11.9 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Jazz (saving possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro slots into the 83rd percentile for technical fouls, logging an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have brought down 11.9 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Jazz (saving possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense). Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 0.7 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Jazz, struggling to get to the free-throw line.