Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18

Golden State @ Boston props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-118

Draymond Green has made 61.7% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 19.7% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team has shot for the lowest FG% in the league over the last 20 games (44.1%). The matchup vs. Kristaps Porzingis is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 2.1 treys per game (83rd percentile). The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Draymond Green

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Draymond Green has made 61.7% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 19.7% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team has shot for the lowest FG% in the league over the last 20 games (44.1%). The matchup vs. Kristaps Porzingis is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 2.1 treys per game (83rd percentile). The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Moses Moody has made 43.4% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 10.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year on the road. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, designating this as a good matchup. The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Moses Moody has converted 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 15.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Moses Moody

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Moses Moody has made 43.4% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 10.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year on the road. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, designating this as a good matchup. The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Moses Moody has converted 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 15.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson registers in the 76th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a monstrous 0.0 fouls per game when playing on the road this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors. While at home, the Boston Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Golden State Warriors's poor 18.6 foul shot attempts per game measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup against Boston may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics are playing at home (15th-least in the league).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson registers in the 76th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a monstrous 0.0 fouls per game when playing on the road this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors. While at home, the Boston Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Golden State Warriors's poor 18.6 foul shot attempts per game measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup against Boston may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics are playing at home (15th-least in the league).

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-134

Al Horford has sunk 60.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing squads have put up the lowest three rate in the league over the last 15 games (32.4%). The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should increase opportunities for the Boston Celtics. Al Horford has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Al Horford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Al Horford has sunk 60.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing squads have put up the lowest three rate in the league over the last 15 games (32.4%). The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should increase opportunities for the Boston Celtics. Al Horford has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Under
-120

In comparison to last season's 6.9 rate, Jaylen Brown's 3-point attempts have been reduced this season to 5.7 per game. Jaylen Brown has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 6thworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 13.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Warriors (maintaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24

In comparison to last season's 6.9 rate, Jaylen Brown's 3-point attempts have been reduced this season to 5.7 per game. Jaylen Brown has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 6thworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 13.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Warriors (maintaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Derrick White has attempted 11.6 field goals per game this year, significantly more than his 9.2 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 31.9 minutes per game at home this year. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should increase opportunities for the Boston Celtics. Derrick White has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Derrick White

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Derrick White has attempted 11.6 field goals per game this year, significantly more than his 9.2 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 31.9 minutes per game at home this year. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should increase opportunities for the Boston Celtics. Derrick White has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 6thworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 13.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Warriors (maintaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense). Jayson Tatum has attempted a lowly 6.8 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 8.1 rate last season.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.2
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.2

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 6thworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 13.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Warriors (maintaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense). Jayson Tatum has attempted a lowly 6.8 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 8.1 rate last season.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-104

Out of all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 24.4 points per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive production. The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should increase opportunities for the Boston Celtics. The matchup vs. Golden State is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 7.1 foul shots per game this year when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting team (30th-most in the league).

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 24.4 points per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive production. The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should increase opportunities for the Boston Celtics. The matchup vs. Golden State is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 7.1 foul shots per game this year when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting team (30th-most in the league).

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Under
-114

Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga slots into the 76th percentile for technical fouls, logging a monstrous 0.0 fouls per game away from home this year. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a challenging one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors. While at home, the Boston Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Golden State Warriors's poor 18.6 foul shot attempts per game measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga slots into the 76th percentile for technical fouls, logging a monstrous 0.0 fouls per game away from home this year. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a challenging one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors. While at home, the Boston Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). As it relates to drawing fouls, the Golden State Warriors's poor 18.6 foul shot attempts per game measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Golden State

C. Paul
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Chris Paul has attempted just 7.7 shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 11.5 mark last season. In comparison to last season's 32.4 rate, Chris Paul's playing time has tailed off this season to 27.3 minutes per game. Chris Paul has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (82nd percentile). The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors. While at home, the Boston Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Chris Paul has attempted just 7.7 shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 11.5 mark last season. In comparison to last season's 32.4 rate, Chris Paul's playing time has tailed off this season to 27.3 minutes per game. Chris Paul has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (82nd percentile). The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors. While at home, the Boston Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

Brandin Podziemski has averaged 32.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 4.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (107.5). The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have attempted 18.8 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, struggling to draw fouls.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Brandin Podziemski has averaged 32.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 4.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (107.5). The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have attempted 18.8 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, struggling to draw fouls.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-118

Kristaps Porzingis has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The showdown with Draymond Green ranks in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs draining a mere 4.9 field goals per game this year when they are playing at home. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 6thworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 13.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Warriors (maintaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Kristaps Porzingis has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The showdown with Draymond Green ranks in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs draining a mere 4.9 field goals per game this year when they are playing at home. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 6thworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 13.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Warriors (maintaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Over
-127

Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 98th percentile for shots taken, averaging 19.9 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry measures in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 12.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry rates in the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.2 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 3.0 threes per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, branding this as a positive matchup. The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 98th percentile for shots taken, averaging 19.9 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry measures in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 12.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry rates in the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.2 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 3.0 threes per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, branding this as a positive matchup. The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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