LIVE 08:48 2nd Nov 21
ORL 51 5.0 o216.0
LAL 52 -5.0 u216.0
Final OT Nov 21
DET 121 -2.0 o222.0
CHA 123 2.0 u222.0
Final Nov 21
MIN 105 -7.0 o226.0
TOR 110 7.0 u226.0
Final Nov 21
UTA 118 3.0 o224.0
SA 126 -3.0 u224.0
San Antonio 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE22-60
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBALP

San Antonio @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zach Collins Points Scored Props • San Antonio

Z. Collins
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
+102

Zach Collins has made 79.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 48.2% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season when playing away from home. The number of field goals drained against Domantas Sabonis has been very high (6.0 per game) when he is playing at home and defending fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing away from home. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-quickest pace home offense in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings). This year, their opposition has grabbed 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Zach Collins

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Zach Collins has made 79.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 48.2% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season when playing away from home. The number of field goals drained against Domantas Sabonis has been very high (6.0 per game) when he is playing at home and defending fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing away from home. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-quickest pace home offense in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings). This year, their opposition has grabbed 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Julian Champagnie Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Champagnie
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Julian Champagnie has attempted 4.4 threes per game over the last 11 games when playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Julian Champagnie has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the league (21st percentile). This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have registered 18.1 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive output. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing away from home. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-quickest pace home offense in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).

Julian Champagnie

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Julian Champagnie has attempted 4.4 threes per game over the last 11 games when playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Julian Champagnie has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the league (21st percentile). This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have registered 18.1 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive output. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing away from home. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-quickest pace home offense in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).

Jeremy Sochan Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Sochan
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Under
-125

Jeremy Sochan has failed to convert 5.6 shots from the field per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 76th percentile for misses on the road. Jeremy Sochan has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's committed over the course of the year. The Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (13th-least in the NBA). Jeremy Sochan ought to suffer a drop-off in output across the board on account of being on the road in this game.

Jeremy Sochan

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Jeremy Sochan has failed to convert 5.6 shots from the field per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 76th percentile for misses on the road. Jeremy Sochan has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's committed over the course of the year. The Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (13th-least in the NBA). Jeremy Sochan ought to suffer a drop-off in output across the board on account of being on the road in this game.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Kevin Huerter has successfully made 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this season when playing at home. The matchup against San Antonio is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Spurs are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 29th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (54.7%). The Kings have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Kevin Huerter has successfully made 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this season when playing at home. The matchup against San Antonio is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Spurs are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 29th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (54.7%). The Kings have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
+100

The Kings have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has snagged 9.5 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense). Harrison Barnes will likely see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

The Kings have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has snagged 9.5 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense). Harrison Barnes will likely see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Under
-104

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis registers in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 3.1 fouls per game this year. As a team, the Kings have been poor at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games, totaling a measly 15.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis registers in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 3.1 fouls per game this year. As a team, the Kings have been poor at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games, totaling a measly 15.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-102

Malik Monk has attempted 17.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's attempted overall this year. Malik Monk has attempted 6.0 threes per game this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Kings have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Malik Monk has attempted 17.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's attempted overall this year. Malik Monk has attempted 6.0 threes per game this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Kings have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Devin Vassell Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Vassell
shooting guard SG • San Antonio
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Under
-113

The Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Devin Vassell ought to see a decline in efficiency for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Devin Vassell

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

The Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Devin Vassell ought to see a decline in efficiency for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-106

Keegan Murray has attempted 6.1 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Keegan Murray has played 33.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 89th percentile. The Kings have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Keegan Murray has attempted 6.1 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Keegan Murray has played 33.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 89th percentile. The Kings have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keldon Johnson Points Scored Props • San Antonio

K. Johnson
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Under
-105

In contrast to last year's 17.7 mark, Keldon Johnson's shots have tailed off this year to 12.8 per game. This year, opposing clubs have shot 39.4% on three-pointers (highest in the league) vs. the Kings, making this a favorable matchup. The Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

Keldon Johnson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

In contrast to last year's 17.7 mark, Keldon Johnson's shots have tailed off this year to 12.8 per game. This year, opposing clubs have shot 39.4% on three-pointers (highest in the league) vs. the Kings, making this a favorable matchup. The Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

Tre Jones Points Scored Props • San Antonio

T. Jones
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-112

Tre Jones has successfully made 55.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 25.7% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year away from his home court. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing away from home. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-quickest pace home offense in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings). This year, their opposition has grabbed 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense). Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 7.8 free throws per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Kings, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Tre Jones

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Tre Jones has successfully made 55.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 25.7% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year away from his home court. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing away from home. The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-quickest pace home offense in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings). This year, their opposition has grabbed 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense). Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 7.8 free throws per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Kings, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.3
Best Odds
Under
-110

De'Aaron Fox has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. As a team, the Kings have been poor at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games, totaling a measly 15.8 foul shot attempts per game. The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (12th-least in the league).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.3

De'Aaron Fox has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. As a team, the Kings have been poor at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games, totaling a measly 15.8 foul shot attempts per game. The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (12th-least in the league).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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