MEM -8.0 o217.5
DAL 8.0 u217.5
OKC -4.0 o219.0
SA 4.0 u219.0
HOU -4.0 o217.5
UTA 4.0 u217.5
Final Oct 7
ORL 104 -1.0 o215.0
NO 106 1.0 u215.0
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
BSN, Sportsnet

Memphis @ Oklahoma City props

Paycom Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gordon Hayward Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

G. Hayward
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Gordon Hayward has averaged 0.8 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile -- among the league's least-whistled. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Among all players in the league, Gordon Hayward registers in the 24th percentile for off the mark foul shot attempts on his home court, putting up only 0.0 per game this year. Gordon Hayward will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Gordon Hayward

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Gordon Hayward has averaged 0.8 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile -- among the league's least-whistled. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Among all players in the league, Gordon Hayward registers in the 24th percentile for off the mark foul shot attempts on his home court, putting up only 0.0 per game this year. Gordon Hayward will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Jake LaRavia Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. LaRavia
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

In regard to scoring, the Memphis Grizzlies's lackluster 106.0 points per game rates lowest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a difficult one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (25.5%). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Jake LaRavia stands to see a decline in output across the board as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

Jake LaRavia

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

In regard to scoring, the Memphis Grizzlies's lackluster 106.0 points per game rates lowest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a difficult one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (25.5%). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, finding it difficult to draw fouls. Jake LaRavia stands to see a decline in output across the board as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Santi Aldama has made 2.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Santi Aldama has tallied 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Santi Aldama has made 2.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Santi Aldama has tallied 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Lamar Stevens Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Stevens
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Lamar Stevens has attempted 10.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Lamar Stevens has sunk 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's made in all games this season.

Lamar Stevens

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Lamar Stevens has attempted 10.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Lamar Stevens has sunk 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's made in all games this season.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-128

The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Josh Giddey has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.1 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the league). Josh Giddey will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production for all stats.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Josh Giddey has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.1 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the league). Josh Giddey will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production for all stats.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-122

Luguentz Dort has converted 2.5 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Luguentz Dort will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Luguentz Dort has converted 2.5 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Luguentz Dort will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
+102

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 83rd percentile, totaling an enormous 17.4 points per game while playing at home this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Chet Holmgren has sunk 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's sunk overall this season. Chet Holmgren will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually raises player production in all facets of the game.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 83rd percentile, totaling an enormous 17.4 points per game while playing at home this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Chet Holmgren has sunk 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's sunk overall this season. Chet Holmgren will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually raises player production in all facets of the game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 55.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 14.1% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The matchup against Memphis may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Grizzlies are away from home (5th-most in the league). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.8
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.8

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 55.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 14.1% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The matchup against Memphis may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Grizzlies are away from home (5th-most in the league). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-106

Luke Kennard has attempted 6.0 threes per game this year, significantly more than his 4.5 rate last year. Luke Kennard has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (23rd percentile). The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Luke Kennard

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Luke Kennard has attempted 6.0 threes per game this year, significantly more than his 4.5 rate last year. Luke Kennard has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (23rd percentile). The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-122

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 20.7 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 7.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 9.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 20.7 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 7.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 9.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted overall this year.

GG Jackson Points Scored Props • Memphis

G. Jackson
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

GG Jackson has attempted 12.4 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted overall this season. GG Jackson has attempted 5.9 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season. GG Jackson has tallied 25.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied overall this season. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.

GG Jackson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

GG Jackson has attempted 12.4 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted overall this season. GG Jackson has attempted 5.9 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season. GG Jackson has tallied 25.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied overall this season. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

Jalen Williams has tallied 19.1 points per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied 6.5 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, making this a positive matchup. The 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Jalen Williams has made 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Jalen Williams has tallied 19.1 points per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied 6.5 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, making this a positive matchup. The 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Jalen Williams has made 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 52.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 16.5% more than he's made overall this year. Vince Williams Jr. has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Vince Williams Jr. has successfully made 52.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 16.5% more than he's made overall this year. Vince Williams Jr. has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic