DAL -8.5 o230.0
UTA 8.5 u230.0
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
San Antonio 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE22-60
NBCS - BA, TSN, BSN, NBATV

Golden State @ San Antonio props

Frost Bank Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Under
-106

Klay Thompson has attempted a measly 8.7 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 10.6 rate last season. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 18.1 free throw attempts per game places 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. Klay Thompson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lower stat production across the board.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

Klay Thompson has attempted a measly 8.7 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 10.6 rate last season. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 18.1 free throw attempts per game places 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. Klay Thompson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lower stat production across the board.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Draymond Green lands in the 78th percentile for scoring efficiency with an outstanding 50.4% rate this year. Draymond Green has converted 57.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 16.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Draymond Green

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Among all players in the NBA, Draymond Green lands in the 78th percentile for scoring efficiency with an outstanding 50.4% rate this year. Draymond Green has converted 57.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 16.3% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Under
-110

In contrast to last year's 35.3% clip, Jonathan Kuminga's three-point ability has regressed this year to 24.5%. Out of all players in the NBA, Jonathan Kuminga lands in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.2 fouls per game this year. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 18.1 free throw attempts per game places 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. Jonathan Kuminga ought to suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

In contrast to last year's 35.3% clip, Jonathan Kuminga's three-point ability has regressed this year to 24.5%. Out of all players in the NBA, Jonathan Kuminga lands in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.2 fouls per game this year. As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 18.1 free throw attempts per game places 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. Jonathan Kuminga ought to suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+106
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+106
Projection Rating

Trayce Jackson-Davis has sunk 80.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 9.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season without the home court advantage. The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Trayce Jackson-Davis has sunk 80.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 9.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season without the home court advantage. The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Under
-115

When it comes to shooting, the Spurs's lackluster 112.6 points per game comes in as the 10th-worst in the league this year. The matchup against Trayce Jackson-Davis is a hard one for scoring; when Jackson-Davis is away from his home court and defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a measly 49.8% of their field goals (3rd percentile).

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

When it comes to shooting, the Spurs's lackluster 112.6 points per game comes in as the 10th-worst in the league this year. The matchup against Trayce Jackson-Davis is a hard one for scoring; when Jackson-Davis is away from his home court and defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a measly 49.8% of their field goals (3rd percentile).

Julian Champagnie Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Champagnie
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Julian Champagnie has made 2.7 three-point shots per game over the last 6 games at home, 1.4 more than he's converted from three in all games this season on his home court. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year. The Warriors have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Spurs. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs rank 5th-best in in the NBA on their home court with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Julian Champagnie has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Julian Champagnie

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

Julian Champagnie has made 2.7 three-point shots per game over the last 6 games at home, 1.4 more than he's converted from three in all games this season on his home court. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year. The Warriors have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Spurs. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs rank 5th-best in in the NBA on their home court with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Julian Champagnie has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
+104

Brandin Podziemski has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games away from home, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road. The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a good one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SGs have posted the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.5%). The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Brandin Podziemski has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games away from home, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road. The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a good one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SGs have posted the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.5%). The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Tre Jones Points Scored Props • San Antonio

T. Jones
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-105

Tre Jones has converted 51.5% of his treys over the last 10 games at home, 21.2% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year while at home. Tre Jones has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have tallied 18.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year. The Warriors have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Spurs.

Tre Jones

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Tre Jones has converted 51.5% of his treys over the last 10 games at home, 21.2% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year while at home. Tre Jones has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have tallied 18.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year. The Warriors have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Spurs.

Devin Vassell Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Vassell
shooting guard SG • San Antonio
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Over
-113

Devin Vassell has converted 9.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Devin Vassell has attempted 6.7 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Devin Vassell has been on the court for 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year. The Warriors have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Spurs.

Devin Vassell

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

Devin Vassell has converted 9.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Devin Vassell has attempted 6.7 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Devin Vassell has been on the court for 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year. The Warriors have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Spurs.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Andrew Wiggins has converted 55.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.9% higher than he's sunk overall this year when playing away from home. The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Andrew Wiggins has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 29.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Andrew Wiggins has converted 55.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.9% higher than he's sunk overall this year when playing away from home. The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Andrew Wiggins has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 29.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Golden State

C. Paul
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-265

Chris Paul has successfully made 48.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 15.4% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs is a strong one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have posted the highest field goal rate in the league this year (50.2%). The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Chris Paul

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Chris Paul has successfully made 48.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 15.4% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs is a strong one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have posted the highest field goal rate in the league this year (50.2%). The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs). Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Keldon Johnson Points Scored Props • San Antonio

K. Johnson
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson rates in the 84th percentile for shots, compiling 12.9 per game this year. Keldon Johnson has successfully made 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Keldon Johnson places in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 29.6 minutes per game this year. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year. The Warriors have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Spurs.

Keldon Johnson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson rates in the 84th percentile for shots, compiling 12.9 per game this year. Keldon Johnson has successfully made 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Keldon Johnson places in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 29.6 minutes per game this year. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year. The Warriors have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Spurs.

Jeremy Sochan Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Sochan
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-118

Jeremy Sochan has scored 15.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's scored in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Jeremy Sochan rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 30.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 shot attempts per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, resulting in a positive matchup. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year. The Warriors have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Spurs.

Jeremy Sochan

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Jeremy Sochan has scored 15.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's scored in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Jeremy Sochan rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 30.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 shot attempts per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, resulting in a positive matchup. The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league this year. The Warriors have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Spurs.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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