CLE 9.5 o233.5
IND -9.5 u233.5
NY 3.5 o228.5
DET -3.5 u228.5
ATL -13.0 o233.5
BK 13.0 u233.5
NO 15.5 o220.5
MIL -15.5 u220.5
MIN -2.0 o231.0
MEM 2.0 u231.0
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Detroit 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-68
NBALP

Miami @ Detroit picks

Little Caesars Arena

MIA vs DET Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
N. Jovic o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 +112 caesars
Projection updated: 391 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 +100
6.5 -130
6.5 +100
6.5 -135
6.5 +107
6.5 -143
6.5 +112
6.5 -154
6.5 +100
6.5 -130
6.5 +104
6.5 -128

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jovic ranks in the 87th percentile for 3-point ability with a phenomenal 40.3% rate this year. The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons). Nikola Jovic has converted 97.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 43.1% higher than he's converted overall this season when playing on the road. As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe of late: 5th-best in the league over the last 20 games as the road team, averaging 23.1 free throw attempts per game. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Pistons, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Points Scored
T. Rozier o16.5 Points Scored
Projection 19.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o16.5 -125 bet365
Projection updated: 391 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
16.5 -125
16.5 -105
16.5 -130
16.5 -105
17.5 -113
17.5 -118
16.5 -132
16.5 -104
16.5 -130
16.5 +100
17.5 +102
17.5 -124

Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier comes in at the 92nd percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 6.6 per game this year. Terry Rozier has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 92nd percentile. The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons). Terry Rozier has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 11.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe of late: 5th-best in the league over the last 20 games as the road team, averaging 23.1 free throw attempts per game.

Points Scored
D. Robinson o12.5 Points Scored
Projection 14.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -121 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 391 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 -115
13.5 -115
13.5 -110
13.5 -120
12.5 -121
12.5 -110
13.5 -103
13.5 -133
13.5 -110
13.5 -120
13.5 -105
13.5 -115

Duncan Robinson has logged a terrific 13.4 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 7.3 points per game last year. Duncan Robinson has played 33.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 more than he's played overall this season. The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons). Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. As a team, the Heat have been great at getting to the charity stripe of late: 5th-best in the league over the last 20 games as the road team, averaging 23.1 free throw attempts per game.

Points Scored
J. Butler o21.5 Points Scored
Projection 23.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o21.5 -115 bet365
Projection updated: 391 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
21.5 -115
21.5 -115
21.5 -120
21.5 -110
22.5 -114
22.5 -117
21.5 -118
21.5 -118
21.5 -130
21.5 +100
21.5 -118
21.5 -104

Jimmy Butler has converted 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 5.7% higher than he's converted overall this year away from home. Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler slots into the 95th percentile for three-point performance with a terrific 45.0% rate this year. Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons). Jimmy Butler has attempted 8.0 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

MIA vs DET Consensus Picks

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