Final Oct 7
ORL 104 -1.0 o215.0
NO 106 1.0 u215.0
Final Oct 7
MEM 121 -8.0 o218.5
DAL 116 8.0 u218.5
Final Oct 7
OKC 112 -4.0 o219.0
SA 107 4.0 u219.0
Final Oct 7
HOU 113 -4.0 o219.5
UTA 122 4.0 u219.5
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Utah 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE31-51
KJZZ, BSN, NBALP

Minnesota @ Utah props

Delta Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Collin Sexton Points Scored Props • Utah

C. Sexton
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds
Over
-106

Collin Sexton has converted 8.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's made over the course of the season. Collin Sexton has converted 47.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games at home, 9.2% more than he's made from three overall this season at home. Collin Sexton has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Collin Sexton

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

Collin Sexton has converted 8.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's made over the course of the season. Collin Sexton has converted 47.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games at home, 9.2% more than he's made from three overall this season at home. Collin Sexton has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 2.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. In terms of shooting, the Timberwolves's impressive 117.3 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Utah Jazz). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 96.7% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 17.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing on the road.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 2.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. In terms of shooting, the Timberwolves's impressive 117.3 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Utah Jazz). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 96.7% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 17.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing on the road.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-122

Jaden McDaniels has missed 6.8 shot attempts from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 more than he's missed overall this season away from his home court. Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile). The 5th-slowest tempo road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Jaden McDaniels has missed 6.8 shot attempts from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 more than he's missed overall this season away from his home court. Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile). The 5th-slowest tempo road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-114

Naz Reid has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's accumulated overall this year on the road. The 5th-slowest tempo road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Naz Reid will likely experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

Naz Reid

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Naz Reid has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's accumulated overall this year on the road. The 5th-slowest tempo road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Naz Reid will likely experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Utah Jazz will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-slowest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Out of all players in the league, Walker Kessler rates in the 10th percentile for foul-shot performance with the home court advantage with a poor 50.6% rate this year.

Walker Kessler

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

The Utah Jazz will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-slowest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Out of all players in the league, Walker Kessler rates in the 10th percentile for foul-shot performance with the home court advantage with a poor 50.6% rate this year.

Keyonte George Points Scored Props • Utah

K. George
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Under
-110

Keyonte George has committed 2.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this season at home. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have put up the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (39.8%). The Utah Jazz will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-slowest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).

Keyonte George

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Keyonte George has committed 2.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this season at home. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have put up the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (39.8%). The Utah Jazz will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-slowest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • Utah

K. Dunn
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
-102
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
-102
Projection Rating

The Utah Jazz will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-slowest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Kris Dunn has successfully made a lowly 0.3 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 1.9 rate last season. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

Kris Dunn

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

The Utah Jazz will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-slowest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Kris Dunn has successfully made a lowly 0.3 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 1.9 rate last season. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

John Collins Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Collins
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Under
-103

Out of all players in the league, John Collins slots into the 90th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.7 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. The Utah Jazz will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-slowest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

John Collins

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Out of all players in the league, John Collins slots into the 90th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.7 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. The Utah Jazz will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-slowest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
32
Best Odds
Over
-115

Anthony Edwards has attempted 24.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 35.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. In terms of shooting, the Timberwolves's impressive 117.3 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against Utah is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Utah Jazz have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.3). The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Utah Jazz).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32

Anthony Edwards has attempted 24.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 35.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. In terms of shooting, the Timberwolves's impressive 117.3 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against Utah is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Utah Jazz have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.3). The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Utah Jazz).

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has made 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 40.0% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season away from home. Kyle Anderson has played 27.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's played over the course of the season. In terms of shooting, the Timberwolves's impressive 117.3 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-best in the league over the last 10 games. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 24.0 points per game (most in the league) against the Jazz, branding this as a good matchup for offensive productivity. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Utah Jazz).

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Kyle Anderson has made 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 40.0% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season away from home. Kyle Anderson has played 27.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's played over the course of the season. In terms of shooting, the Timberwolves's impressive 117.3 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-best in the league over the last 10 games. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 24.0 points per game (most in the league) against the Jazz, branding this as a good matchup for offensive productivity. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Utah Jazz).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert registers in the 6th percentile for three-point prowess away from his home court with a weak 0.0% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.1 fouls per game away from his home court this year. The 5th-slowest tempo road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Rudy Gobert will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production across the board.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert registers in the 6th percentile for three-point prowess away from his home court with a weak 0.0% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.1 fouls per game away from his home court this year. The 5th-slowest tempo road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Rudy Gobert will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production across the board.

Taylor Hendricks Points Scored Props • Utah

T. Hendricks
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Taylor Hendricks has sunk 64.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 23.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on his home court. Taylor Hendricks has successfully made 48.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 16.1% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season at home. Taylor Hendricks has been on the court for 23.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Taylor Hendricks

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Taylor Hendricks has sunk 64.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 23.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on his home court. Taylor Hendricks has successfully made 48.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 16.1% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season at home. Taylor Hendricks has been on the court for 23.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has attempted 10.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley places in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 28.9 minutes per game this year. In terms of shooting, the Timberwolves's impressive 117.3 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Utah Jazz). Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.3% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Mike Conley

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Mike Conley has attempted 10.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley places in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 28.9 minutes per game this year. In terms of shooting, the Timberwolves's impressive 117.3 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-best in the league over the last 10 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Utah Jazz). Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.3% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Brice Sensabaugh Points Scored Props • Utah

B. Sensabaugh
small forward SF • Utah
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Brice Sensabaugh has successfully made 4.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Brice Sensabaugh has been on the court for 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. Brice Sensabaugh has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the lowest-fouling players in the league (23rd percentile). The Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Brice Sensabaugh

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Brice Sensabaugh has successfully made 4.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Brice Sensabaugh has been on the court for 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. Brice Sensabaugh has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the lowest-fouling players in the league (23rd percentile). The Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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