Oklahoma City @ Milwaukee picks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The faceoff with Malik Beasley comes in at the 13th percentile with the opposing team's starting SGs hitting a mere 31.0% of their treys this year when they are on the visiting team. The Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 9th-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 9.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throws sunk have tailed off this year to 7.7 per game.

Malik Beasley has attempted 8.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. In contrast to last year's 23.6 mark, Malik Beasley's playing time has surged this year to 29.7 minutes per game. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a good matchup. The Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).