Final Apr 27
NY 94 2.5 o216.0
DET 93 -2.5 u216.0
Final Apr 27
LAL 113 2.5 o209.0
MIN 116 -2.5 u209.0
Final Apr 27
BOS 107 -7.5 o199.0
ORL 98 7.5 u199.0
Final Apr 27
IND 129 4.0 o226.5
MIL 103 -4.0 u226.5
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
BSN, Sportsnet, NBATV

Oklahoma City @ Milwaukee props

Fiserv Forum

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
29
Best Odds
Under
-115

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The faceoff with Malik Beasley comes in at the 13th percentile with the opposing team's starting SGs hitting a mere 31.0% of their treys this year when they are on the visiting team. The Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 9th-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 9.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throws sunk have tailed off this year to 7.7 per game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The faceoff with Malik Beasley comes in at the 13th percentile with the opposing team's starting SGs hitting a mere 31.0% of their treys this year when they are on the visiting team. The Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 9th-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 9.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throws sunk have tailed off this year to 7.7 per game.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
+102

Malik Beasley has attempted 8.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. In contrast to last year's 23.6 mark, Malik Beasley's playing time has surged this year to 29.7 minutes per game. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a good matchup. The Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Malik Beasley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Malik Beasley has attempted 8.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. In contrast to last year's 23.6 mark, Malik Beasley's playing time has surged this year to 29.7 minutes per game. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a good matchup. The Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-106

Bobby Portis has sunk 49.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 13.1% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year with the home court advantage. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. The Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Bobby Portis has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year when playing at home. Bobby Portis will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Bobby Portis has sunk 49.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 13.1% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year with the home court advantage. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. The Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Bobby Portis has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year when playing at home. Bobby Portis will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-122

Chet Holmgren has sunk 47.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 9.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 30.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup against Brook Lopez is a positive one for shots from the field; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 12.0 shots made from the field per game (97th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Chet Holmgren has sunk 47.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 9.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 30.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup against Brook Lopez is a positive one for shots from the field; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 12.0 shots made from the field per game (97th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
+104

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled 19.8 points per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive production. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Luguentz Dort has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 18.6% more than he's sunk in all games this season. The matchup vs. Milwaukee may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Bucks are playing at home (3rd-most in the league).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled 19.8 points per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive production. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Luguentz Dort has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 18.6% more than he's sunk in all games this season. The matchup vs. Milwaukee may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Bucks are playing at home (3rd-most in the league).

Gordon Hayward Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

G. Hayward
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Gordon Hayward has successfully made 55.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 15.9% higher than he's made from three overall this season. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Gordon Hayward has attempted 2.6 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league.

Gordon Hayward

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

Gordon Hayward has successfully made 55.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 15.9% higher than he's made from three overall this season. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Gordon Hayward has attempted 2.6 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams comes in at the 91st percentile for shots from the field converted, posting a whopping 7.6 per game this year. Jalen Williams has successfully made an impressive 44.7% of his three-point shots this season, a big improvement over his 33.7 mark last season. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 31.6 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, branding this as a positive matchup.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams comes in at the 91st percentile for shots from the field converted, posting a whopping 7.6 per game this year. Jalen Williams has successfully made an impressive 44.7% of his three-point shots this season, a big improvement over his 33.7 mark last season. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 31.6 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, branding this as a positive matchup.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-106

Khris Middleton has successfully made 60.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 21.8% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. The Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Khris Middleton has sunk 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's converted in all games this year. Khris Middleton figures to see a rise in performance in all facets of the game on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Khris Middleton has successfully made 60.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 21.8% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. The Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Khris Middleton has sunk 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's converted in all games this year. Khris Middleton figures to see a rise in performance in all facets of the game on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Over
-114

Damian Lillard has made 9.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 35.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Damian Lillard

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Damian Lillard has made 9.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 35.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.3
Best Odds
Under
-106

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have logged 11.0 points per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Thunder, creating a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency. The showdown with Jalen Williams lands in the 23rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting PFs scoring only 1.4 threes per game this year. The Bucks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted a measly 11.1 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 12.2 rate last year.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.3
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.3

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have logged 11.0 points per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Thunder, creating a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency. The showdown with Jalen Williams lands in the 23rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting PFs scoring only 1.4 threes per game this year. The Bucks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted a measly 11.1 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 12.2 rate last year.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 21.7 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive production. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Josh Giddey has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.6 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 21.7 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive production. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. Josh Giddey has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.6 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-128

Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 31.3 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. The matchup with Chet Holmgren places in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs scoring an enormous 17.1 points per game this year when they are playing at home. The Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Brook Lopez has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 31.3 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. The matchup with Chet Holmgren places in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs scoring an enormous 17.1 points per game this year when they are playing at home. The Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Brook Lopez has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic