IND -2.0 o225.0
BK 2.0 u225.0
DET 14.5 o221.0
BOS -14.5 u221.0
LAL 3.0 o216.0
MIA -3.0 u216.0
ORL -5.0 o208.0
PHI 5.0 u208.0
ATL 4.0 o236.0
MIL -4.0 u236.0
MIN -3.0 o214.0
LAC 3.0 u214.0
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
NBALP

Minnesota @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+112
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+112
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has sunk 57.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 14.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Christian Braun has successfully made 51.7% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 18.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Relative to last year's 15.0 mark, Christian Braun's playing time has risen this year to 19.4 minutes per game. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Christian Braun will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player performance across the board.

Christian Braun

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Christian Braun has sunk 57.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 14.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Christian Braun has successfully made 51.7% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 18.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Relative to last year's 15.0 mark, Christian Braun's playing time has risen this year to 19.4 minutes per game. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Christian Braun will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player performance across the board.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Under
-130

The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7). The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Naz Reid

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7). The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road. The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Kyle Anderson ought to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Kyle Anderson has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road. The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Kyle Anderson ought to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-102

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 33.7 minutes per game away from home this year. When it comes to offense, the Timberwolves's terrific 117.6 points per game away from their home court ranks 5th-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The number of baskets drained against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high (6.2 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (82nd percentile).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 33.7 minutes per game away from home this year. When it comes to offense, the Timberwolves's terrific 117.6 points per game away from their home court ranks 5th-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. The number of baskets drained against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high (6.2 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (82nd percentile).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Under
-107
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Under
-107
Projection Rating

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on three-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) against the Nuggets, resulting in a difficult matchup. The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Mike Conley should experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Mike Conley

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on three-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) against the Nuggets, resulting in a difficult matchup. The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Mike Conley should experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-128

Aaron Gordon has attempted 12.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Aaron Gordon has sunk 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted overall this year. Aaron Gordon will likely see an increase in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Aaron Gordon has attempted 12.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Aaron Gordon has sunk 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted overall this year. Aaron Gordon will likely see an increase in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league this year. The Nuggets will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Nuggets's subpar 20.0 foul shot attempts per game measures as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league this year. The Nuggets will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves). With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Nuggets's subpar 20.0 foul shot attempts per game measures as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jamal Murray has attempted 20.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 4.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Jamal Murray has tallied 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 6.4 higher than he's tallied overall this season at home. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jamal Murray has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Jamal Murray stands to see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Jamal Murray has attempted 20.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 4.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Jamal Murray has tallied 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 6.4 higher than he's tallied overall this season at home. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jamal Murray has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Jamal Murray stands to see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

Anthony Edwards has averaged 31.4 points per game over the last 15 games while playing away from home, 4.2 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.2 minutes per game this year. When it comes to offense, the Timberwolves's terrific 117.6 points per game away from their home court ranks 5th-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have notched 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity. In comparison to last year's 4.1 rate, Anthony Edwards's free throws sunk have spiked this year to 5.2 per game.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.2

Anthony Edwards has averaged 31.4 points per game over the last 15 games while playing away from home, 4.2 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.2 minutes per game this year. When it comes to offense, the Timberwolves's terrific 117.6 points per game away from their home court ranks 5th-strongest in the league over the last 10 games. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have notched 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity. In comparison to last year's 4.1 rate, Anthony Edwards's free throws sunk have spiked this year to 5.2 per game.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-104

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 2.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown overall this year. Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 31.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.6). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 7.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 2.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown overall this year. Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 31.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.6). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 7.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Under
-124

Out of all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.2 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9). The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Out of all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.2 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9). The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Reggie Jackson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 20.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing at home. Reggie Jackson is expected to get a boost in production in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Reggie Jackson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 20.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing at home. Reggie Jackson is expected to get a boost in production in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 56.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 92.9% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 8.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 56.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 92.9% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 8.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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